China Unicom to develop with Tencent IM you?
Wei telecoms consultancy Analysys International
a long time ago intended to write an article about Unicom IM, but no care has been too busy to write, see the move today labs09 IM in an article on the China Unicom, in turn inspired I decided to write Unicom IM enthusiasm. Unicom too some time to develop real-time communication with Tencent various scandals continued, including depth of cooperation. So in the end it will work with China Unicom and how to cooperate Tencent it?!
personally think that cooperation with China Unicom to figure out the various Tencent sex scandal, we must first answer three questions: A. Does the China Unicom do IM; B. China Unicom to do IM, alone or with other companies to develop; C. Who is China Unicom to develop the best partner for IM
1, China Unicom, is it really necessary to do IM?
First of all, IM users are highly viscous products, can improve the user's off-grid barriers to play to improve the Unicom high turnover rate. Fetion China Mobile to China Unicom development experience has done a very good proof of IM. China there are several highly viscous mobile data services, including flight information, 139 mailboxes, 139 communities and mobile payments. But mobile payment trial in the country just commercial and business, has not really played a role in maintaining the user; 139 community first by Guangdong Mobile promotion, its scope should be further expanded; 139 E-mail While maintaining the user to play a certain role, but the user scale has been difficult to show explosive growth, and because the size of reasons, resulting in maintenance of effect is difficult to give full play; flying letters since March 2008 20% subscriber growth over the law of the threshold, into the explosive growth of, as of July 2009 onwards the number of users reached 189 million, to maintain the user has played a very important role. and China Unicom, he is three operators in the user loss of the most serious one, the cost has always been limited for China Unicom, the ability to play with the smaller cost of inputs to maintain the user's role is the development of China Unicom's first important reason for IM.
Secondly, IM can become a long-term business Unicom product access, and bring more revenue. Tencent With this excellent performance, since the 92 years since the launch of qq, and gradually occupied the user's desktop, and on this basis, the development of a range of products, not only improve the user's viscosity, but also brought a huge income. telecoms operators can not only provide the basis for business IM communications services operators in the future will become a service portal, comprehensive information media, the product channels. When the user reaches a certain size, will diversify its revenue model, revenue will be rapid growth in size, and the corresponding income includes not only personal communications income, you can also bring advertising revenue, product promotion commission. Fetion from the case of China Mobile can be confirmed, 2008 Fetion direct income throughout the year close to 10 billion, although spending is difficult to make up for all year, but if you count the letters flying stealth to maintain income users is certainly greater than flying into the letter. So, can deliver the potential revenue is Unicom second important reason for IM.
again, needs and opportunities from the market perspective, China Unicom is now the development of IM there is still a chance. from the user develop and scale, have been expanding mobile Internet users, instant messaging market rapidly, and according to Analysys International Enfodesk released the %. the new IM tools from the user acceptance perspective, Analysys International's research shows that in 2009, nearly half of the users tried within three months of the new IM tool, although users can see IM use for the present higher degree of satisfaction However, many users still have to try the new IM will higher, New vendors are still some opportunities. Thus, the presence of market opportunities, and may be user acceptance is the third IM Unicom important reason.
According to the analysis of these three, I believe that the development of China Unicom will definitely IM, and the introduction of time should not be too late, it is estimated will be listed within 10 years.
summary, can give the answer the first question: definitely Unicom do IM!
2, China Unicom to do IM, alone or with other companies to develop?
on the one hand, the problem of the development of IM from the domestic and foreign carriers operating experience, will give China Unicom What the experience provided for reference; the other hand from their own advantages and disadvantages of China Unicom to consider what the most appropriate mode of operation.
first IM from foreign carriers operating experience, a few users in Europe and America the largest mobile operator operators are, respectively, and MSN, Yahoo, AOL to launch the IM service, cooperation and promotion of the main reasons is the ability to bring customers in the short term and active degree of the scale, and to use its technological advantage.
Second, its advantages from China Unicom and weaknesses, China Unicom's main advantage is reflected in the user experience in basic and value-added business operations: a. has 180 million mobile users around the huge; b. mobile value-added services with strong operating skills and experience to better development IM and mobile value-added services into the new features. but at the same time, China Unicom, the disadvantages are also obvious: a. lack of IM products, operating experience, deep understanding of user needs is not enough, has launched the ultra-successful letter; b. Technology insufficient strength, it needs the power of external partners to enhance product and service quality.
again, the domestic market from the current analysis, the IM market in China, Tencent QQ position of absolute dominance, its status can not shake; in the MIM market ( mobile instant messaging), QQ, and fly relatively large market share in both the letter. Fetion business after China Mobile, the development in recent years, the product is relatively mature, has been in rapid development, and has a huge user base.
Let us IM Unicom that have their own development and cooperative development are two ways to look at China Unicom following the success of their probability of developing how the IM. Unicom to promote the development over the letter that the failure of poor IM technology and products to promote lack of experience, from this dimension Look, China Unicom is difficult to launch a good IM products; face greater cost pressures, and to narrow the gap to catch up with competitors, you need a lot of money to promote new products, but China Unicom is the largest three operators of a commercial cost pressures, from a cost perspective analysis, China Unicom can not afford the heavy cost pressures; from China Unicom to promote super-letter, phone-mail and other Internet-related products, failures can be seen that the lack of Internet industry thinking Unicom, China Unicom is currently the business development strategy, more or use of a single business operators to promote the development of ideas, not from mobile Internet and Internet user-base to attract a variety of types of services as the core business of collaborative development of ideas, from this dimension, China Unicom has no ability; from the time dimension degree of view, China Mobile started from the 2006 launch of flying letters, after 3 years of development to promote it to the point where today, if a separate development Unicom IM, mobile flight information to reach the level of at least 4 years, from the time point China Unicom can not wait. and if the cooperative approach taken by China Unicom will be able to shorten the development, promotion of the time, and can avoid most of the above skills, experience and other risks.
drawn from the above analysis can answer the second question: Unicom collaborative approach taken by a higher probability of developing IM.
3, who is China Unicom to develop the best partner for IM?
problems in the second assumption, both China Unicom to develop cooperation IM, then Who is his partner? IM Unicom development partners can simply be divided into two categories: one with Tencent, MSN IM and other top companies; second, and Ali Wang Wang, Netease bubble companies such as second-class IM . from the market power of partners to see, Tencent, MSN and other leading IM service providers in terms of customer base, market operation and future development of China Unicom in terms of support are much better than Ali, Want Want, Netease bubble, etc. partners. but difficult to see from the cooperation with Tencent, MSN and other companies will be more difficult negotiations on cooperation, running a long cycle, slowing the pace of China Unicom into the IM field, increasing the difficulty of IM development. But Unicom IM, the first object of the negotiations must Tencent, MSN and other partners, which is why so many rumors about a variety of Unicom and the reason for Tencent.
for Tencent, the development of IM and Unicom is also a good path. One reason: As flying letter rapid development, and formed the basis of a large user base, China Mobile and Tencent IM can not be deep aspects of cooperation; causes II: China Telecom has been in the IM market with second-MSN cooperation; Reason Three: The future development of Tencent need a strong telecom operators, the choice of in-depth partner only China Unicom.
can be seen from the above analysis, China Unicom urgent need to develop IM, and Tencent is the best partner, however, is home Tencent income diversified company, the two companies co-operation is the key to the ultimate willingness to cooperate with the attitude of Tencent.
Monday, February 28, 2011
Sunday, February 27, 2011
River of Sorrow
40 easy to do away with rice. Turn off the exhaust fan fume extraction. End to the two dishes on the table. Her mother went to the room, crying softly, . mother lying in bed, you can see the dark back to ourselves. You eat! you eat one for me! Do not give me his mother passed out delicate equipment. I'm not that much money to you faint. I owe you previous life! a clinging to the rice. bedroom one twice came from time to time, flow to the heart. table moved in almost two dishes. was no longer take the heat out. winter cold food much faster. easy to reach out to touch the burning of the face away, the results of blood touched the sticky hand. was scratched skin wound was playing the mother of two ears bleed again. easy to walk into the toilet, We find a clean towel, poured from a thermos of hot water, wet a towel, slowly rubbing his face sticky sticky blood. eyes fever. easy to walk up her hand and rubbing the eyes, rubbing the bridge of the nose from the outer corner. scalding tears more kneading more. 41 Qiming sat on the bed against the wall. There is no light. eyes in the dark adaptation the faint light. gradually come to distinguish the contours of various objects. fist Niede tight, clean and eventually lost strength, release to. Qiming forced to head back, against the wall. disappeared pain. pain. is the pain or hurt? there a difference? distressed and pained. there a difference? easily away standing in the dark, head down, then looked up and down to the ears, and numerous lightning Flint camel picture in my mind explode. hurts you ? the afternoon, the last of the sun. slanting through into the classroom. play in the remainder of the setting sun, easy to walk head down, reading the numbers on the tape, projection juvenile sight out the window. is pained it? winter seemed like forever 42 not the past. talking all the time still Hachu a white gas. corridors at the end of play where hot water is always long queue waiting line. PE always so many people leave. the sky is always that little white light, the clouds frozen general, stick to the distant sky. the radio, like voice is still like sputum, vomit stick people get fat. is this time. embedded in the brocade on the best years Ji Zhang. countless boys and girls dressed in new uniforms flocked to the playground. young life like being lined up on display, sunlight exposure in the cold. Qiming look easy to run away in front of their own. pants somehow seems hypertrophy. significantly larger waist twice. was she tied to a belt slack. trousers are too long, there were shoes and stepped on a length, glue a lot of dust. Qiming rubbed his eyes. breath stuck in my throat.'s easy to walk in front of a sudden come back to. be given to look to yourself. baggy pants easily away, the sunlight in the winter cold, and turned to look Qiming. see Qiming red eyes, easy smile slowly away. her smile like saying, ; Na, in fact, it does not matter. . the wind bam bam looked out. do not bother to get up off. anyway, and then cold wind blew into the quilt where not to. dark, Bai Hai limbs were immersed in boiling like a bath in. those called grief, like groups of ants, came from far away, and slowly climbed up her body. step by step towards the beating heart of the deepest crawl away. until the group leader, to climb to the top of the heart, and then beat the flag towards the foot of the soft places, forced to a plug mm Kazakhstan, occupying slightly. 45 Heating the school computer room is open enough. windows with a thick layer of condensed water vapor. Yi Yao scored in Baidu, A look over to see my heart sick. These are not easy to way back to the. easy to walk into a in a for a long time, and then down. 46 who have seen countless times on the TV series plot, and then staged his own body one by one. such as school up to half of a sudden out of the classroom began to vomit. such as starting school canteen would like to eat May. no one saw them, would take one to eat one. And there are more things TV can not teach their own. like waking up this morning, standing in front of the mirror away easily, the skin than ever before become better. and once heard a woman spoken of in the alley, dust, have no sense of reality, and now, but like a spider on the door usually kept to the face. the mirror of his young, smooth face. like a porcelain. be smashes, but when the porcelain, then smooth, also left a sharp, broken pieces to the bar. easy to walk so I thought, will be looking at herself in the mirror. Lin Huafeng has to get up. went to the table edge, the top is easy to do in the morning away breakfast. The mother's guilt before, but also day by day, and no difference in the time before there was a clean kill again. in front of this man, his 15-year-old is still said, But sometimes love her Easy walk back to, Lin Huafeng voice heard, to bring home, said dismissively. drawn. the rest of Lin Fenghua, the table tremble. carrying a bowl of hand because of force and violence out of several good veins. out the window like a not so pale sunlight, and have some slightly warm. the sky is open to blooming . the distance seem to whistle came. 47 pm last class is geography. blackboard and a huge map of the world. dress looked like a map of the world as the gorgeous geography teacher standing on the podium, the pointer in the air shabu shabu in the play too loud. easy to direct pumping away even feel like the students in the first row of the same faces. But today she did not care about that. the right hand side of the pocket is the last four hundred dollars to their father . in my hand, too hard, the sweat has been confused some weak. The left pocket is a written copy down your address from the computer paper. school gate to see themselves in the school The Qiming, easy to tell him something away, and sent him back first, Qiming said nothing, stood watching her a moment, then walked Tuizhao Che. especially conspicuous in the back of the crowd, white down jacket drum up the wind, gather together a group like the light. easy to see Qiming go far away, and then ride the opposite direction towards the past and go home. is there in a alley. easy to spread away from the hands of the paper, slowly according to the address above to find the past. surrounded by a variety of shops, selling fried, the barber's, selling groceries, repair bikes, all kinds of intertwined marketplace atmosphere, such as woven into a net, sweet tired of the secular flavor floating in the air. dirty side of the road there are many stray cats, with the strange eyes looking the distance. Occasionally, one or two The gaps from the roadside suddenly rush out of standing in the middle, will be looked easy to walk. at last, the piece of gray appearance, indifference to support the wall outside the window. around confused and staggered messy Indus antenna branches, almost swallowed up to this brand. already get the end of the tong. longer follow the main road past that. In fact, should be coming from the side of the road. vain to wear a whole alley. forced up the stairs remorse, the more than light up every glance retired. went two-story yellow light when left with only a small light bulb hanging on the wall, the stairs as has long been abandoned according to the awe-inspiring atmosphere as given to. mother's eyes the day was also an accomplice standing behind the silence Qiming Li Wan heart. Every time will feel like the heart of a sudden tightening up. a couple of days and how he did not speak it. white replaced by a black down jacket wool coat. wrapped in a handsome uniform upright outside. Easy mast away looked down at his pants, trousers ran out from the belt in short, like the sticks out like a pocket. Millet, vice squad, and Tang together and proud of their seems to fear but fear that easy to find easy to walk away as the laughter did not find, such as glue poured on his body, like sticky sore. Yi shook his head away, not like these. raised his head, the light seems bright some, a burning jumbo half-old woman sitting in the corridor. before them a table. on the table there are some scattered yellow medical card registered sign or something. away from the low voice that only you can almost hear, see, a lot of eyes. without expression said, the like coated with something. do not know. the windows shut, but did not draw the curtains, the light shining through the window, the cold cold ground around those projected on the white sheets and Gualian. ears of transmission from the next impact over the sound of metal utensils. easy to think away from the television show that will use the pliers, knives, and even meat with the forceps folder or something like that. do not know what truth is not also so exaggerated. Although the doctor of their own said that the fetus has not yet formed, almost never use tweezers. lying on the operating table, when asked an easily away moldy smell. white sheets sent from the body below the damp cold feeling. ? words, stainless steel scissors in those things like tweezers, reflecting the white light. easy to find the body in a remote suddenly tightened nerve. The doctor turned away and said to the nurse, you help her with her pants off. 49 is almost easy to walk frantically run down, put bags in hand, hit the arm of the stairs to collision. behind, chasing out the screaming voices of nurses, the only catch phrase is rebate, ah! when a sudden intense sunlight enveloped down from the beginning. almost the same tingling blind. pulling the retina, through the complex under a variety of white shadow. standing amidst. gradually gradually restored a heartbeat. tears hung long in the face. by winds becomes cold. gradually see the surrounding structure. three of the old attic. in front of large crowds is a rough road. Overhead, a colorful parasol tree branches disorder, isolated a two autumn leaves do not fall in between the branches to stay with, was dry winter air flow into the specimen. alley mouth a sell boiled corn, half-blind She lifted her eyes to see to their own. depression do not see the look in the eyes, that there is no light, such as hissing black holes absorb the vitality of their own. And these are not important. important is a clear projection of the retina of the three girls dressed in new uniforms. Tang millet hair bow around Ash scarred buildings in a dazzling red, as red as, along with the police alarms. Tang millet looked down from the attic easily washed away, the tears still hanging in her face, a heavy bag in one hand, the other hand tightly grasp the belt, hypertrophy of the school uniform pants are the empty wind. She looked up to see by numerous piece of wire and cross the is easy to lose the soul of the distance, his face gradually emerged out of a big smile to. easily looked away, and Don millet for watching. eyes tight, as entangled as the string pull, to stretch in a straight line from the mess. no one not to look back to. familiar scenes and scenes, but the script reversed roles. until easy to walk down dark eyes suddenly bright. Tang millet lightly on the raised lips. did not say it, but will be able to hear --- - ; take care of yourself. a. watched with great interest in their heads bowed in front of the easy walk. easy to walk did not speak, but more force to pull the clothes of the Tang millet.'s clothes by hand grasp fold, along the extension of the clothing material up two or three smaller lines, point to Don millet brilliant smile. street sprinkler stood beside the old songs from their opening in the past. In the eyes of others, this scene and more like good friends the last, respectively. Some wear the same uniform The young girls, one holding the other clothes. imagine the dialogue should be a matter of course out, but not seen, is in an intersection outside the park Tuizhao Che young black hair on the zebra crossing. He is far from looking over the eyes, gentle and sad at the girl's body shrouded. as he helped hand on the faucet those of another release. he will be standing on the zebra crossing, traffic lights change to staggered return. did not change his rest. 50 by his look came from far away, was his call came from a distant place long, gentle dialogue, white swim slowly, pulling the vague light, dense aspect in the dark horizon. broke away eyes, the window is 3:00 in the alley. dim the lights illuminate a gap in the dark, some sink and trash in developing a profile in the gap. occasionally there will be wind up being a white plastic bag, floating past the window. two or three cats stood quietly on the wall, looked up to the bright moon. sometimes very far from Local heard a car horn twice, in the chilly night, because too quiet, have heard no harsh feelings, only the kind of grief, in the open street is continuing to enlarge the . easy to walk up her hand and wipe the tears left corner of the eye. turned face to the wall to close your eyes to sleep. has been the number of days in a row doing this sad dream? sometimes easy to remotely wake up crying from a dream, or can not stop feeling sad, then continue to cry, cry do not know for what, but it can clearly know that they have been called a sad mood was such that the layer thick Shanghai summer floating in the air the rainy season, the whole city was made a mold. cry tired, once again sleep in the past. The latest sorrowful dream, Qiming dead. 52 easy to walk and bicycle traffic along Qiming slowly toward the front to move forward. In the morning the traffic situation in Shanghai is like to be boiled a pot of pasta, three steps of a red light, Buyi traffic jam, morning exercises olds from time to time, tiptoe around them trotted from in the past. every road are like a dead snake paralysis, slow creep forward. is the scarf pulled up to cover the more you want to face some of the Qi Ming, away Oh smiled, ; Qiming interrupted her hair back and frowning slightly. easy to walk back and looked at Qiming with great interest, but also did not speak, anyway, is a trick to see the way Western look Qiming face, as if someone in his take the stage in his face, like singing, even watch the last laugh. Qiming look embarrassed by her, turned around to see the red light, whispered to himself. easy to have turned away to see the red light, countdown 7 seconds left in the red word. Push the two, went to the front to go. immobilization in the school shed the same time also met Tang parking millet. Tang Yi millet looked away Tiantiandexiao of a laugh. easy to look into the distance with her face feel like a bloom off the huge rotten flowers. exudes a strong decay of the flowers. easy to break away suddenly remembered the time at home last week to see the kind of broadcast television giant insects eat plants . The same flowers are huge, gorgeous color, and transparency of the petals flowing mucus. Zhang huge mouth, waiting for the wings of insects flying near the side. walking around with the crowd, the head of the noisy confusion Sparrow, the mood was restless beat against the bicycle bell, well think of the early-morning study electric tones. These are all disappear. only quietly toward the front of his big mouth open, the huge and splendid thick chrysanthemum . 53 and the same is not expected, and does not appear easy to imagine the scene away. Before coming to school, easy walk had thought about all sorts of terrible possibilities. even the The intention is to good for. in accordance with the character of Don millet and her wrists and easy to walk into the classroom that directly appears on the blackboard to see on the posters themselves to private gynecology what is not too much to do. as have heard before her many accomplishments. tricks used to describe the ruthless infighting also does not seem too. but easy to walk into the room, but there is no difference with the usual place. Qiming bow still on the podium and then record The students copied the name of the late. The subjects of the Branch representatives standing in front of the code came back and homework into small piles. girls clustered into several small groups, discussing last night's drama department and a few boys school sports lace news. easy to walk toward the back of the room looking over the Tang millet, after the Ce Zhuotou her, and her talk about this girl behind her new dress. easy to walk softly sigh of relief, but suddenly float while Ruoyouruowu palpitations. As is already known to play opposite a punch, raising his hand your head in the success of the elbow down to see each other, afraid of attracting head blow. easy to walk to sit down and dig out from the bag the morning of the textbooks to use. shoulder was tapped from the back, easy remote turned away, standing millet Tang themselves behind an iron hand out candy jar in front of --- in his delivery, stench went straight up to lick the nose. 55 calisthenics done, a huge crowd of students after the water like a summer storm, winds flowing from all directions. triage into one another share, from different places, the flow of with a low place. Qiming looked around and easy walking distance, leg length was stepped out of that part of it was the pants rotten side, leaving a few thin black cloth, Nianman gray. Qi Ming-wrinkled brow, clear sunlight, the dark narrow eyes only shadows, said: one. Tang Yi Yao hit just when the millet rose from his chair, holding the hands of the insulated cup ready to pour, came away easily seen, and she paused, then reached his hand smiling easily handed the cup away before Look over here. easy to walk the face of her standing, did not speak, but raised his seeing her hand resting on the edge of the table, forced to pull the nail lacquer to the next one. Tang and millet are also looking at easily away, he pulled off the table that picked up a metal pot, then Mercedes into the mouth, a smile and girls and sweet. plum at the muster in cheek piece, such as tumors grow. easily took the cup away, turned and walked toward the door . sparse row of hot water where two or three individuals. winter is almost over. temperature is not as low as terrible as some time ago. So a while ago, so hot water is not hot. easy to walk quickly to touch a glass, and then walk back towards the classroom. go half, easy remote stop, unscrew the lid, put the water inside the sink to its side and cut in half, then twisted the faucet to fill it Raining Cats and irrigation water. screw down the lid also that is not enough, easy to drink from his cup lifted away, and then spit it back toward the inside. easily took the cup away, walked to the other side of the corridor toward the classroom door. took a few steps away and easy to stop, put your hands on the lid, or twist off the end, all the water poured into the edge of the sink. suddenly Teng chug up the white vapor diffuse from the edge of the sink up. easy to walk down the hall back to the white aluminum bucket, unscrew the heat tap the cup to receive the following. grunt sound irrigation coming out from the cup. easy to lift the back of the hand away, wiped his wet eyes were hot smoked, and then cover the lid, back to the classroom. Tang millet smiling took the cup, open the lid just going to drink, he first entered the classroom by a female stopped. a mouthful and spit into, and just also like to ask what she was engaged. true expression of surprise or play, no matter what kind, the performance of this face can be used body sat still. did not say anything, and slowly pulled out from the bag of books to the next class. and so she turned a good text, behind came late in the Jiao Chen Tang Millet: away how can you it? see it, but can still rely on feeling and imagination painted bright Phnom Penh. intense fishy taste, still full of mucus drip huge petals, spread, breathing into the chest. dissolved into the life cycle, can not replace and collapse into the evil and insidious. 57 winter sunshine, even if it is noon, the sun will not be as vertical as summer and the next, people will be condensed into a heavy shadow of black ink dots. winter sun, at noon, when, from slanting through the window came in the shape of the window, pulled out in the cafeteria on the ground of a more narrow rectangular bright spots. winter noon, I feel like a summer evening, as the vague but sadly beautiful. a boy kicked the ball ran from behind some slow motion, like the dust from the ground to float, floating in the bright light in the beam shape. can not tell whether to laugh or on a serious face. back to help her pick out a cup had a cold face, stared at her, an evil of vicious children to do Several girls away to hear the next table to talk with him quietly. ; I finished. the entire school girls are infatuated with the beautiful. easy to look away watching his Qiming, he slowly Shoulong the sun's face, like after midnight, the white night-blooming cereus bloom in the sun before all the good Shoulong. Flanagan weak heart candles, but also shake a little, went out. 58 away just as easily as intended in the Tang millet trick did not stop. it can be said, than he imagined, even vicious lot. delicate face as he, like the eyes of others, but also many, many good innocent. like a sweater demolished the beginning of the Okanagan need to find the thread, and then little by little pull, pull into a pile of tangled mess lines. things thread is this afternoon, a delivery boy passed away on the easily a hundred dollars. So just pull the same sweater, not to stop to go rushing to pluck. 59 morning when the school The radio has been repeating the afternoon cleaning the whole school thing. because next Monday to meet the city health department inspection, the city focused appraisal assessment, health has always been an important indicator of the situation. So the whole morning radio are at pains to repeated to remove the afternoon matters, which that morning exercise music female disease Galium aparine, Liao replaced dean desperately urgent tone. from the speakers hanging around the school, the outward blowing hot flame. The whole school was Bake like the atmosphere of this restless to fire the general. In the afternoon after school study hall is the last one vigorous clean-up the whole school. not to be dead. on listening to the conversation around the girls, out of the window the sun shines. like pale cold winter is about over. all began to recover from heat, water vapor rises from the ground slowly, the whole world is surrounded by the warm water vapor. blackboard left a large area is used to write the clean division of labor. east of the garden: Lizhe Dong, Mao Jianan, Liu Yue, ranking clouds classroom: Chen Jia, Wu Liang, Liu Beili. corridors: Jie Chen, security and Ming, Xu Yaohua, Lin Hui. hh Stairs: Easy walk. easy to walk quietly staring at his name on the blackboard, alone accounted for half. your name above, the sun slanting just a bunch of photos in your own name above, are slightly chalk dust floating in the bright light inside. easily pulled away from the mouth, of unknown meaning given to laughter. on their own feet. easy to walk back and go, just about bent Qujian to hear the voice behind the Don millet. originally intended to slowly bend the waist down straight up, the whole back Jiangzainali.'d girls next to feel embarrassed, embarrassed smile, got up to pick their own. feet, and why ah. beautiful crystal nail in that the tin pot full of plum on the in their own back stabbed the deep and shallow Ruoyouruowu. has issued around the same familiar nausea. easy to walk bent over, picked up the book, patted the dust, then put it back on the table next to the girls, sunshine eyes narrowed. can not tell the girls face is the embarrassment. Shoulong from behind Tang millet beautiful expression. out of the window of the radio is still the director of academic affairs, as desperately as the voice. the wind with clouds, great big flowers passing duo behind them to fly the blue sky overhead. There in the winter ...
Thursday, February 24, 2011
zz economic trends in 2010, Lang
Premier Wen Jiabao presided over State Council executive session, steel, wind power, and so the industry overcapacity. spring of this year, Jan. 20, also made the top ten industry may still be excess capacity, including electricity, coal, coke, non-ferrous metals, building materials, light industry, textile Ten other industries. In our imaginary process of economic recovery, how does this outcome? Please think about the guests.
As of noon today, the news of the January 70 Beijing real estate transactions down % a few, several Shanghai decreased by 50%, the average price fell 3% to 4%. Of course, I must admit that January is always the off-season, but the decline is too great. This is what this means?
pick up in the whole process last year, them, we recognize some interesting fact that China's stock market began in November 2008 has been warmer for four consecutive months, the Chinese property market in the world last year were extremely depressed circumstances, the whole the world's only growth industry market trends, of course, to the January start callback. car sales? production around the world plunged more than 46% of our growth, in addition to luxury goods and so on. please recall that our pick up the joy of the year which is not really as I said two years ago, it ran into problems?
fact, I have said before, if the world did not pick up, but only if we pick up the case, then the representative We are not normal. If it is not normal, it all came back to be adjusted, that is why we will pick up then?
not really pick up on, but we have a fever. Why is a fever? because we ill.
I want three hours of speeches today, when I put the whole concept condensed into a short story and you make a communication.
so this little story is told: One of Mr. A that he dug gold Mine made a 100, he can have two choices. The first choice: he gave him 10 miners each one dollar, 10t1 = 10 blocks, he left 90 in your pockets, so he is very wealthy, What does it mean that a dollar? This one dollar only enough food and clothing purposes. The second option is to give each miner 5 dollars, 5t10 = 50 blocks, he was only 50 in your pockets.
But once made a second choice, miners spent a dollar just enough food and clothing, he also left four dollars, while the four dollars he will take them a dollar to buy luxury items, such as handbags, sportswear, sports shoes, Mr. hhA suddenly discovered that he more than an investment opportunity, he can open a shopping mall, specializing in selling these things, such as handbags and so on.
to sell these products, he had to employ 10 a female assistant, the 10 male miners and 10 the girl to get married, have children. then they need to buy baby products, but also to spend a dollar to buy baby supplies. A President this time found that he more than a second an investment opportunity, and that is the production of baby supplies. miners wife have spent three dollars of the remaining two dollars, and they are ready to shelter a child, A President suddenly found he had a third investment opportunity, that is, real estate development, how much does a house? 2 dollars! until Mr. A gold digging is done, and the natural formation of a small town, naturally grown.
second option we have to give him a term: dividends .
but the first choice do?
10 miners each person only got a dollar, then I ask you, how do gold after digging complete? 10 miners instantly unemployed. cause serious social problems, Mr. A has forced out of his pocket and then 40 dollars, the construction of the highway. and then these 10 miners and jobs, when construction workers, then the highway once Once created how to do? 10 miners and unemployed.
this time, Mr. A suddenly found that when he made the first choice, he immediately faced two difficulties: The first dilemma was both unable to open hypermarkets, nor the production of baby products, but also real estate developers can not do, because people are too poor. So he called the first dilemma: Investment overall deterioration in business environment. But he also faced a second dilemma, please think about it, in such a poor community which built the highway you have no car The above will? basically no, no car to run on the highway the highway known as excess capacity, so Mr. A once made the first selection, will be faced with another problem: a serious overcapacity.
he had two diseases, because he had two sick, he looked at the vast land, have left 10 miners, a uninhabited place, only one dazzling highway, no cars running above. He faces deteriorating industrial environment , excess capacity, then the rest of his hand 50 can you do? He built a luxurious villa is only 50 dollars a.
This is the first choice to do the inevitable result, and the house of your death, and other products will be very expensive.
this simple story will run through the entire speech, you will find the current situation in China is because we have done the first option, called? called difficulties caused by the two, while one out of two after the plight of entrepreneurs you will find no place to vote, only speculation, stocks, resulting in warmer last year.
and I began to speak, read to you listen to Wen Jiabao Talk overcapacity have told you, this is an example of this to tell you the results. As you all know that our investment environment is deteriorating, the two diseases are out. So I say today is a long speech, I now on the basis of this preface, I and friends to talk about the theme of my speech today.
officially began the following speech.
the United States against Iraq, Afghanistan, or the future of Yemen is a traditional war, but against all Asian countries is the exchange rate war.
such as Japan, in 1985, that time is particularly rampant in Japan, said Japan GDP to surpass the United States, even Japan has threatened to buy the United States, so arrogant. Actually, they've bought 2 / 3 of Hawaii real estate, and even Japan, the United States said we can also say no.
1985, the U.S. war against Japan, the exchange rate immediately start. when the United States united Germany, France, United Kingdom a total of 4 countries, oppression, Japan signed a ; Plaza Accord. Japan cut interest rates the lowest interest rates in Japan fell at that time. The bomb is horrible, because two years from 1985 to 1987 between the yen, major Japanese trading company was a major dilemma. to 1987, lost the second bomb After that the next interest rate so low, so the major Japanese trading companies began to borrow from the bank stock speculation.
1990 年 1 since January, the United States dropped the third bomb, blow up the Japanese asset bubble, the Japanese into a long 20 years of the Depression.
remember our friends, the exchange rate with the war must have the effect of asset bubbles, do not know you hear me say these words, there is no trace of fear in mind? because we already have asset bubble.
1997 have four little dragons in Asia, there are four tigers, the eight countries and regions are also incredibly arrogant. We did not, that is a bit of money, the results of the United States began taking advantage of the 95 Asian asset bubbles godsend, 1995 attacks on Asian currencies, a depreciation of half, destroying the foam, the results of killing four Tigers, killing the two dragons. If it were not shot in 1997 to rescue the Chinese compatriots in Hong Kong Government, Hong Kong is still depressed, but other countries region is not so lucky.
to 2008, there are an emerging socialist countries of Asia rising in Vietnam, the United States took advantage of the Vietnamese in 2005 the opportunity to asset bubbles, destroying the asset bubble in Vietnam, so Vietnam caught the edge of total collapse at any time, how can I resist a little Vietnam war had ransacked the U.S. exchange rate?
do not know my friends remember a word I said, I said last 4,5 month according to my understanding of the United States , I have 30% certainty, the United States will expand the exchange rate at the end of World War II in China. Unfortunately tell my friend, I said yes.
2009 年 9 20 March, the U.S. war officially ended their exchange is completed, we leaders summit in New York, we always express to the world of free trade in good faith. Obama spoke, saying he was at the very start: the RMB exchange rate to appreciate, exports must be reduced.
9 月 20 号 Obama Marden High a call, the world response to the Quartet .11 13 months, the APEC leaders meeting in front of our face to revalue its currency, on November 30 last bastion of the fall of the yuan appreciation.
throughout December we do not have any movement We exchange rate remains at 6.82 level. but I would like to remind our friends, all countries in human history, a country's exchange rate is so hostile, it has never been seen in the .1985 to deal with Japan in 4 countries but, this time In addition to the world outside Africa, the United States against China. So when I was speaking, I am very concerned about our situation, I would pressure our leaders are very sympathetic, because this is history, never had the .12 on We resisted the pressure to the appreciation of the RMB exchange rate is not the West did not seem to reflect, why? Christmas is coming.
I am worried that pressure will come one after another after Christmas, December 31 the U.S. sent his top pawn, the 2008 Nobel laureate in economics in the manipulation of the RMB exchange rate does not appreciate, he used the sentence in English: Chinese exploitation of the world. ah damn good! do not know who is exploiting whom. but we have no voice, voice control in the hands of the West. He said that if the yuan does not appreciate, the proposed U.S. a second war: a trade war.
and according to my understanding, the exchange rate war and trade war will form the two front claws, cut your throat. to London in January this year, his early version of the article, use the chart card 明克鲁格曼 is right.
to January, said the first time China overtook Germany to become the world's largest exporter, we see this news triumphantly Deyizhiyu been fooled, and Europe thought: the European people, ah, why our unemployment so serious? are the fault of the Chinese people, because the Chinese exports than Germany.
China, through export-led lower their unemployment rate, but the Europeans have to pay a painful price, so the unemployment rate in Europe and America more than 10%. They asked why China exports rose? because China manipulating its currency, which is nonsense, but we have no voice. is a series of reports, the people making Europe against the common enemy Europe and the United States led to the unemployment problem, particularly the problem of unemployment caused by the financial tsunami actually pushed to fall into our heads, so hateful.
to January 20, the Group of Seven expressed through the media, February 5, Canada summit, the Group of Seven will again put pressure on the yuan to revalue its currency. And our Vice Premier Li Keqiang on January 20 clearly express our commitment to the world, he said that the RMB exchange rate remained stable for the whole world are all benefits.
Li Keqiang, of course, such a speech, I certainly support him, but I am worried about our choices limited. we have only two choices, first insisted on a RMB appreciation, we will become enemies with the world, they We will deal with a trade war; second option comply with the requirements of the world, after the Spring Festival of RMB appreciation of 3% to 5%, again within two or three years the appreciation of 20% ~ 30%.
As for what we do selection, after the New Year will be very clear, but two choices are very difficult choices .2010 years is a very complex one year, and this complex is the reform and opening up the first time in 30 years. I hope that entrepreneurs, the Government can work together tide over the difficulties, but all this is not our choice, because the four major gifts have been ready, interlocking ready.
next step is to trade war, when the war ended their trade done? fact that some wars can not be defeated, some of the war also should not be defeated. Last September 12, Obama signed the tires safeguard trade war by the United States is an important piece of cloth. That is not lost, but we are so defeated miserable, let us follow the aftermath of the waves unbearable.
this issue is too important, so necessary at this time and all our friends to talk about the essence of what a trade war.
fact, things faster, and started calling for a trade war tires safeguard, which is the seventh U.S. unions safeguard, the former U.S. president six have been rejected, even by the seventh time, that terrible, by itself is a well-planned national strategy.
the beginning of all this comes from the U.S. steel unions safeguard the tires, I investigated a bit, I suddenly found that our translation is wrong, this union should be the name of the original steel, rubber, paper, forestry, energy, manufacturing, service, and so many sectors of the United Federation of Trade Unions of the Americas, how do we translate? We look up, first check the first word that immediately write down the steel, and then again there are dozens of words to look for not checked, went so far published for the steel industry, how can you so sloppy you undefeated, he is a die-hard Obama brother, as you know do not know how terrible this union?
2008 presidential election, when the Austrian Bama and Hillary Clinton locked in killing time, is come out of this trade union support for Obama, making Obama Mamai on the president's throne, so the president and the ambiguous relationship between trade unions, this is your unthinkable. such a major competitor, we can actually translate it wrong, so terrible trade unions, I believe he was later to benefit.
two conclusions after investigation, the conclusion of a 2004 to 2008, China tire exports to the U.S. market share increased by 12%. Conclusions II, the same period, the United States tire company's market share fell just 12%, due to the rise of China is just down the United States, so the judge China guilt.
In this crisis-ridden international negotiations, we are sending to the imposing trade negotiators did not speak English, Comrade Xu Ying. She shouted abuse at the time the United States International Trade Association, the roar courtroom, it is defamatory to China. Wen-Ying Xu said you dare to sanction our Chinese American tire, we will not export cheap Chinese tires for you, so the Americans can not afford to change tires, and if Americans can not afford to change tires, highway accidents increases. This is what we Trade negotiators answer, can you imagine? she finished, the audience was laughter.
United States International Trade Association, with her reply was given to two conclusions on Obama, Obama immediately Signature tires safeguard, thus completing the second root claws a pair of pliers.
signing is completed, under the operation in the United States, South America, Brazil, Argentina, India, immediately launched tires safeguard, Germany launched solar electromagnetic anti-dumping cases initiated by European and American shoes, aluminum foil, seamless anti-dumping case, the United States launched Nine Inch pipe, pipeline, phosphate, and so anti-dumping case.
in this pressure, Rain Comes from Wind China's three largest export trade unions, including textiles, electrical machinery and light industrial products in the United States one month before the CNN board for a 30-second advertisements in China. They want to appeal through the flexible, moving the American people to hope the U.S. government let them go.
but I ask my friend, if the U.S. decided to impose sanctions on our three main export industry, then what is the result? if coupled with the first World War, 20% appreciation of the RMB exchange rate if you do not know We want to know how many years back?
but unfortunately to tell my friend, this ad is invalid, and this year in January, the U.S. has three products for our anti-dumping, the first drill pipe is called, the second metal manufacture of pallets, as well as electric blankets, trays and electric blankets are our light industrial textile and electronics industries, the sanctions the United States has begun.
I talked about here, I do not know what the consequences will be, because of my limited ability , but I was very worried. the slightest mistake lead to disastrous consequences. Can you imagine how the situation in crisis today, this time requires great wisdom, need effort. but this time the Ministry of Commerce is very sloppy, you have absolutely not ready, you so underestimate the enemy, imprudent, how can you undefeated?
and we also have to consider retaliation against the United States, and of course I have our revenge the Chinese government has always been my support, but the question is what you want revenge? you may want to retaliation for U.S. chicken.
I do not know the chicken with the U.S. What is the relationship of China's tire, but you want to know further retaliation. First, in the United States to build the chicken coop, the cost certainly better than China's low; second , hired labor in the United States than the Chinese chicken costs low? not. Third, the U.S. will not be hatching chicks cost lower than China; Fourth, the United States is the humane chicken, chicken in China is inhumane, in the United States to do chicken is very interesting. in China to die, you look at a chicken farm in China, China's chicken with no distance between the chicken, so chicken that the Chinese do not have to squat down over a lifetime. a man in China difficult, more difficult cooking chicken.
to these four points of view, the United States is not cheap chicken to the truth, we want to know why so cheap American chickens?
because the special feed, cheap, cheap special feed Why? Because corn cheaper. maize Why Special cheaper? because the U.S. government subsidies in the past decade a total of 290 billion dollars, equivalent to two hundred billion yuan in cash subsidies. a country could be so much a product of cash subsidies, many countries including our country can not. You want to revenge U.S. chicken, you are wrong, the object of revenge, retaliation is not the American you want the chicken, but behind the corn. U.S. corn is about to launch World War II, that is, the cost of war.
tires safeguard that we should not lose. We should be so to answer: First of all, I admit that the U.S. national trade association of law enforcement right, I admit you two survey results. However, I remind Americans of the following two facts: the first First, you know 2004 to 2008 the share of the United States decreased by 12 percentage points Why exactly? you do not know, I know. because you tire of the four U.S. companies, including Tesco solid Michelin plant them just off the U.S. out, so drop by 12%. Then they went to China, the use of cheaper Chinese production of cheap labor, all the tires back to the U.S., so we just share in China increased by 12 percentage points. All these are the four companies that you dry the United States thing, China has nothing to do with us.
Secondly, if you sanction us, you will go to four U.S. companies in Indonesia and Thailand, where labor is not only low, more importantly, they produce rubber, so they can be cheaper The cost to return to the U.S., you will be the 12 or more points. You just use the actual data to answer truthfully, this war will not be defeated, undefeated as long as this war, then Obama can not build trade war. as long as the lack of a World War II, the U.S. exchange rate war will not work. it is a pity that we are disgrace to let us into the passive situation of unprecedented.
But even more terrible war yet to come. It is the third war, the cost of war, and climatic battle, if you're brave enough, you dare to hear, rest for 15 minutes back to talk about.
2000, the U.S. company Monsanto visited the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Biological Institute, gave the occasion of his departure, a soybean Academy of Agricultural Sciences. Monsanto understanding of the habits of the Chinese people more than anything else in place, he knows we are a country like the stress on the other, he gave us hope that we, after soybean rebate a soybean, soybean our Academy is really a rebate. What we really confidential? is soybeans. because the Chinese control over 90% of the wild soybean seeds.
Monsanto to get it Subject to treasure stars soybean, immediately flew back to the United States, isolated genes and anti-viral gene prolific, the United States already have the oil control genes. thanked the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Monsanto then 131 countries in the world 63 registered patent, in 2003 the grandson of a soybean future generations grow up, they decided to invade China. we are really open to imports of soybeans, and soybean have been officially eliminated Northeast.
2003 年 8 months, in soybean stocks are lowered from August 2003 Scoop April 2004, up 4,400 yuan / ton. and for the previous month, China's oil crushing plant a total of more than 800 million tons of soybeans imported .5 fierce throwing Wall Street since January soybean futures hit 2000 block / ton. 70% of the final-round collapse of the Chinese oil pressing, grain merchants to enter China after the acquisition of four of these factories closed down, making the whole of China in 2009 more than 85% of grain and oil control in the hands of foreign capital. Jinlong Yu, Lu Hua , Fortune, and so are the four companies holding the pricing power of the Chinese Cereals and Oils in the United States hand over Wall Street, Wall Street control the price at this time.
Nanjing friends at home a dish mm green pepper fried pork, is this Who will drive the price of pork green pepper control? cooking pork to cut it, cut pork it, who controls the price of pork in China? Bo Xilai recently caught the pig underworld gangsters, he was a person to develop pig people can eat for the country two days, two days alone, he can control the price of pork in China. He is a gangster, but not in the underworld behind him and a super-master, his name is Wall Street's Goldman Sachs.
Goldman Sachs in 2004, the first acquisition of Yurun Group, part of the shares, get the pork .2006 downstream processing and then to 20 billion acquisition of the Henan Shuanghui, get the lower reaches of the upper reaches after .2008 out of 3 billion acquisition Hunan, Fujian, dozens of pig factory.
rogue pig pig pig far less than Goldman Sachs, because only the control of swine Pa Chongqing, and Goldman Sachs control of two provinces, it is almost the only company Goldman Sachs control the whole hog industry chain downstream of the enterprise. he controlled the industry chain from Fujian Province to Hunan, Jiangsu and to Henan, a whole industrial chain. pigs Pa which is his level? he really manipulate pigs in China meat prices, remember a month or two before the lecture in Shanghai for some leadership. Shanghai Brilliance Group, chairman of very mixed feelings after listening to ask me, Lang, Professor of Shanghai Brilliance Group of large, when we talk and Availability On the grain and pork prices, they are not birds, our birds, and today I know why the original Wall Street.
heavy snow in northern China one month before the price of vegetables, resulting in huge fluctuations, fluctuations are only short-term fluctuations, please Ladies and Gentlemen, guess who controls China's benchmark price of vegetables? that steal our soybean controlled by Monsanto. He controlled a company 50% of the vegetable seeds in China. to control the long-term benchmark prices of vegetables. Of course, in which should include green peppers. If even a green pepper fried pork prices are determined on Wall Street, not to mention oil, iron ore?
any relation between these companies? please listen carefully, Wall Street, Monsanto and the four major grain merchants, known as the modern East India Company. with green pepper pork, for example, friends should be able to give you a warning, you do not think Americans are just manipulating the international market prices, even you can manipulate the price of Nanjing, this powerful United States.
a while ago, we staged a spy gate Rio Tinto we remember? Union Steel Rio Tinto our negotiations, we lost two years of negotiations, down 7,000 million, and why? and vegetable prices because of the same and agricultural prices, as pricing is not controlled by us.
who controlled the iron ore pricing?
Steel Association last year, I remember the negotiations, Rio Tinto only agree to a reduction of 33%. We talk about Steel Association a, how can you talk about? you knows you do not know for us lose a seven thousand million, and why? because you do not know the pricing of iron ore, rules of the game. Then you have to ask me, given how the price of iron ore?
I usually do not speak of. But you do the bank, nothing to do with you talk about, not the price of iron ore to steel agreement negotiations. because the price depends on both the price of iron ore, the first oil price , the second Baltic Dry Index, which is the freight index. as long as the two rose, iron ore to rise, the two fell, after the iron ore to fall, that iron ore price index is the Baltic Sea and top up oil prices. then I ask you, oil prices, the Baltic index who manipulated? Wall Street! who is behind Wall Street? the U.S. government! So, you really negotiating partner is Wall Street, that is, the U.S. government, the U.S. government Wall Street's manipulation of oil prices by manipulating the Baltic index, indirect control of iron ore.
give you an example, in July 2008, I am speaking in Shunde, Guangdong, site visitors are traders of steel, I am quite in Guangdong influential, this is one of the spot I told them that steel prices will plunge and became a hit, how I know?
I have not spoken with others, to tell you today count the. All this thanks to our Shenzhen Nanshan Power's leadership, we Guangdong Shenzhen Nanshan than 100 U.S. dollars a barrel in oil prices and Wall Street's Goldman Sachs, when signing the contract on the bet, how much money on stocks? 62 dollars, if oil prices Goldman Sachs to pay more than $ 62 per month 30 million dollars Shenzhen Nanshan, if oil prices fell below $ 62, the day of Shenzhen Nanshan Power to pay Goldman Sachs fell below 80 million dollars, or an amount of money each subsequent pay 40 million dollars, please each calculate this loss of state-owned enterprises for the people how much money? about ten million dollars or more.
I just saw this deal, so I know the price of oil fell below 62 dollars a certain, or Goldman Sachs would not sign with you . As long as oil prices fall, the Baltic index must be dropped, this is the law. Therefore, the first Baltic index fell, oil prices fall further, and iron ore fall further, so this is what I said, so sure of the reason is because this transaction. If your investment is to attract such firms Goldman Sachs, you're in trouble.
any acquired businesses is just a pawn on the international chessboard, they are of any benefit to U.S. interests as a precondition. the United States manipulated agricultural and mineral raw material prices, manipulation of the pricing, the cost of war as long as the United States is willing to fight, that is, the right to control inflation in China has been through various methods of speaking in front of me hand over to the Americans.
I believe I talked about here , every friend should have a very serious sense of crisis. If the United States would like to make the cost of war, the result is terrible. He is not only capable, more importantly, he has the strength to make any point he wants to do , terrible.
it occurs with the first three-game how to do if? Of course I do not think he will occur together, but we think the worst case, if the exchange-rate appreciation, our main export is sanctions, inflation how to do full-blown expansion? Of course I do not want it to happen, and planned by the United States at the back, as you know do not know how complex the situation, this is what I've been telling my friends, we need government, business, media, people work together, with great wisdom to defuse the crisis.
with great wisdom to defuse the crisis, but had to talk about the Fourth World War: the climate wars.
remember last December's Copenhagen meeting up?
I think the events are arranged good a drama, is the beginning of the meeting came in several Pacific island countries cry and kick the people that their homes were submerged, and their governments to bring oxygen to the water office of the barrel.
and former U.S. Vice President Al Gore made a film documentary, in which a picture is going to melt the ice above the sad face of a polar bear stood looking at the East. seem to be our fault, but I once again tell all our friends through the lecture I hope that we can take advantage of great wisdom to resolve this crisis. What is great wisdom? my TV early November in Guangdong, when a remark: I do not believe it. Why do I dare say so arrogant: I do not believe?
I said climate warming data is provided by the University of British five-stream, and his name is University of East Anglia, so many schools in the world I taught the book, my students, teachers, friends all over the world, I heard this I shall have The university's name. I suspect that four other universities. Relying on this, I said I do not believe, this is my TV shows and programs in Guangdong speak.
2009 年 11 月 17, thanked the Russian hackers, invaded computer professor at the University of East Anglia. Finally found to be a big hoax, which almost all fabrications of data.
climate is not warming? there is no cold?
there! often warming the Earth's climate, often cold. 11 to 14 century AD when the temperature ten degrees higher than now, that is the world's Nuanshi period, when the polar bears that come ashore, and went to Siberia and northern Canada, Alaska, they are alive and well before the century .18 is a small ice age, oh so cold.
climate is warming, but also cold, but it has nothing to do with carbon dioxide. Harvard professor with the Massachusetts Institute of Technology is very difficult to be bought, professor of East Anglia, it is easy to buy. you think do you have the ability to change the climate? the presence of you are doing the bank, I just ask you one word, you know how much human emissions of carbon dioxide? 6.5 billion tons, you know the number of bacteria discharged? 150 billion tons.
We are 6.5 billion tons is only a fraction of the bacteria. And because of our human-made modern industrialization is the fraction of a fraction of carbon dioxide, you do not have influence, and all the bacteria and the carbon dioxide humans put together, but the atmosphere inside the 0.054 .
So what in the end affect the climate?
sun! That is why the global warming? as increased solar activity, sunspots increase the sun's surface, climate, why the cold? because fewer solar activity, solar the surface of the sunspot is reduced. This is the conclusion in January of this year.
Europe and the United States would like to launch a climate war purposes. After the ladies and gentlemen, your customers, products, export products, but also pay, because the manufacture of carbon dioxide. such as say, 1 ton of steel produces 1.8 tonnes of carbon .1 tons of cement to produce 1 ton of carbon, a piece of clothing produced five kilograms of carbon.
make much money? Americans told us the price up to close 70 U.S. dollars one tonne of carbon, so the next time we want to export, pay, called carbon tariffs, are you afraid to pay carbon tax it? okay, you can import to Europe and the United States to reduce carbon technology, So now he fabricated using carbon dioxide, something to the Chinese income developing countries, led by carbon tariffs.
what purpose?
pulling in this way is to use the economic development of their countries, the second objective, comprehensive obstruct China's economic development, recently including national policies, corporate strategies Fun ...
As of noon today, the news of the January 70 Beijing real estate transactions down % a few, several Shanghai decreased by 50%, the average price fell 3% to 4%. Of course, I must admit that January is always the off-season, but the decline is too great. This is what this means?
pick up in the whole process last year, them, we recognize some interesting fact that China's stock market began in November 2008 has been warmer for four consecutive months, the Chinese property market in the world last year were extremely depressed circumstances, the whole the world's only growth industry market trends, of course, to the January start callback. car sales? production around the world plunged more than 46% of our growth, in addition to luxury goods and so on. please recall that our pick up the joy of the year which is not really as I said two years ago, it ran into problems?
fact, I have said before, if the world did not pick up, but only if we pick up the case, then the representative We are not normal. If it is not normal, it all came back to be adjusted, that is why we will pick up then?
not really pick up on, but we have a fever. Why is a fever? because we ill.
I want three hours of speeches today, when I put the whole concept condensed into a short story and you make a communication.
so this little story is told: One of Mr. A that he dug gold Mine made a 100, he can have two choices. The first choice: he gave him 10 miners each one dollar, 10t1 = 10 blocks, he left 90 in your pockets, so he is very wealthy, What does it mean that a dollar? This one dollar only enough food and clothing purposes. The second option is to give each miner 5 dollars, 5t10 = 50 blocks, he was only 50 in your pockets.
But once made a second choice, miners spent a dollar just enough food and clothing, he also left four dollars, while the four dollars he will take them a dollar to buy luxury items, such as handbags, sportswear, sports shoes, Mr. hhA suddenly discovered that he more than an investment opportunity, he can open a shopping mall, specializing in selling these things, such as handbags and so on.
to sell these products, he had to employ 10 a female assistant, the 10 male miners and 10 the girl to get married, have children. then they need to buy baby products, but also to spend a dollar to buy baby supplies. A President this time found that he more than a second an investment opportunity, and that is the production of baby supplies. miners wife have spent three dollars of the remaining two dollars, and they are ready to shelter a child, A President suddenly found he had a third investment opportunity, that is, real estate development, how much does a house? 2 dollars! until Mr. A gold digging is done, and the natural formation of a small town, naturally grown.
second option we have to give him a term: dividends .
but the first choice do?
10 miners each person only got a dollar, then I ask you, how do gold after digging complete? 10 miners instantly unemployed. cause serious social problems, Mr. A has forced out of his pocket and then 40 dollars, the construction of the highway. and then these 10 miners and jobs, when construction workers, then the highway once Once created how to do? 10 miners and unemployed.
this time, Mr. A suddenly found that when he made the first choice, he immediately faced two difficulties: The first dilemma was both unable to open hypermarkets, nor the production of baby products, but also real estate developers can not do, because people are too poor. So he called the first dilemma: Investment overall deterioration in business environment. But he also faced a second dilemma, please think about it, in such a poor community which built the highway you have no car The above will? basically no, no car to run on the highway the highway known as excess capacity, so Mr. A once made the first selection, will be faced with another problem: a serious overcapacity.
he had two diseases, because he had two sick, he looked at the vast land, have left 10 miners, a uninhabited place, only one dazzling highway, no cars running above. He faces deteriorating industrial environment , excess capacity, then the rest of his hand 50 can you do? He built a luxurious villa is only 50 dollars a.
This is the first choice to do the inevitable result, and the house of your death, and other products will be very expensive.
this simple story will run through the entire speech, you will find the current situation in China is because we have done the first option, called? called difficulties caused by the two, while one out of two after the plight of entrepreneurs you will find no place to vote, only speculation, stocks, resulting in warmer last year.
and I began to speak, read to you listen to Wen Jiabao Talk overcapacity have told you, this is an example of this to tell you the results. As you all know that our investment environment is deteriorating, the two diseases are out. So I say today is a long speech, I now on the basis of this preface, I and friends to talk about the theme of my speech today.
officially began the following speech.
the United States against Iraq, Afghanistan, or the future of Yemen is a traditional war, but against all Asian countries is the exchange rate war.
such as Japan, in 1985, that time is particularly rampant in Japan, said Japan GDP to surpass the United States, even Japan has threatened to buy the United States, so arrogant. Actually, they've bought 2 / 3 of Hawaii real estate, and even Japan, the United States said we can also say no.
1985, the U.S. war against Japan, the exchange rate immediately start. when the United States united Germany, France, United Kingdom a total of 4 countries, oppression, Japan signed a ; Plaza Accord. Japan cut interest rates the lowest interest rates in Japan fell at that time. The bomb is horrible, because two years from 1985 to 1987 between the yen, major Japanese trading company was a major dilemma. to 1987, lost the second bomb After that the next interest rate so low, so the major Japanese trading companies began to borrow from the bank stock speculation.
1990 年 1 since January, the United States dropped the third bomb, blow up the Japanese asset bubble, the Japanese into a long 20 years of the Depression.
remember our friends, the exchange rate with the war must have the effect of asset bubbles, do not know you hear me say these words, there is no trace of fear in mind? because we already have asset bubble.
1997 have four little dragons in Asia, there are four tigers, the eight countries and regions are also incredibly arrogant. We did not, that is a bit of money, the results of the United States began taking advantage of the 95 Asian asset bubbles godsend, 1995 attacks on Asian currencies, a depreciation of half, destroying the foam, the results of killing four Tigers, killing the two dragons. If it were not shot in 1997 to rescue the Chinese compatriots in Hong Kong Government, Hong Kong is still depressed, but other countries region is not so lucky.
to 2008, there are an emerging socialist countries of Asia rising in Vietnam, the United States took advantage of the Vietnamese in 2005 the opportunity to asset bubbles, destroying the asset bubble in Vietnam, so Vietnam caught the edge of total collapse at any time, how can I resist a little Vietnam war had ransacked the U.S. exchange rate?
do not know my friends remember a word I said, I said last 4,5 month according to my understanding of the United States , I have 30% certainty, the United States will expand the exchange rate at the end of World War II in China. Unfortunately tell my friend, I said yes.
2009 年 9 20 March, the U.S. war officially ended their exchange is completed, we leaders summit in New York, we always express to the world of free trade in good faith. Obama spoke, saying he was at the very start: the RMB exchange rate to appreciate, exports must be reduced.
9 月 20 号 Obama Marden High a call, the world response to the Quartet .11 13 months, the APEC leaders meeting in front of our face to revalue its currency, on November 30 last bastion of the fall of the yuan appreciation.
throughout December we do not have any movement We exchange rate remains at 6.82 level. but I would like to remind our friends, all countries in human history, a country's exchange rate is so hostile, it has never been seen in the .1985 to deal with Japan in 4 countries but, this time In addition to the world outside Africa, the United States against China. So when I was speaking, I am very concerned about our situation, I would pressure our leaders are very sympathetic, because this is history, never had the .12 on We resisted the pressure to the appreciation of the RMB exchange rate is not the West did not seem to reflect, why? Christmas is coming.
I am worried that pressure will come one after another after Christmas, December 31 the U.S. sent his top pawn, the 2008 Nobel laureate in economics in the manipulation of the RMB exchange rate does not appreciate, he used the sentence in English: Chinese exploitation of the world. ah damn good! do not know who is exploiting whom. but we have no voice, voice control in the hands of the West. He said that if the yuan does not appreciate, the proposed U.S. a second war: a trade war.
and according to my understanding, the exchange rate war and trade war will form the two front claws, cut your throat. to London in January this year, his early version of the article, use the chart card 明克鲁格曼 is right.
to January, said the first time China overtook Germany to become the world's largest exporter, we see this news triumphantly Deyizhiyu been fooled, and Europe thought: the European people, ah, why our unemployment so serious? are the fault of the Chinese people, because the Chinese exports than Germany.
China, through export-led lower their unemployment rate, but the Europeans have to pay a painful price, so the unemployment rate in Europe and America more than 10%. They asked why China exports rose? because China manipulating its currency, which is nonsense, but we have no voice. is a series of reports, the people making Europe against the common enemy Europe and the United States led to the unemployment problem, particularly the problem of unemployment caused by the financial tsunami actually pushed to fall into our heads, so hateful.
to January 20, the Group of Seven expressed through the media, February 5, Canada summit, the Group of Seven will again put pressure on the yuan to revalue its currency. And our Vice Premier Li Keqiang on January 20 clearly express our commitment to the world, he said that the RMB exchange rate remained stable for the whole world are all benefits.
Li Keqiang, of course, such a speech, I certainly support him, but I am worried about our choices limited. we have only two choices, first insisted on a RMB appreciation, we will become enemies with the world, they We will deal with a trade war; second option comply with the requirements of the world, after the Spring Festival of RMB appreciation of 3% to 5%, again within two or three years the appreciation of 20% ~ 30%.
As for what we do selection, after the New Year will be very clear, but two choices are very difficult choices .2010 years is a very complex one year, and this complex is the reform and opening up the first time in 30 years. I hope that entrepreneurs, the Government can work together tide over the difficulties, but all this is not our choice, because the four major gifts have been ready, interlocking ready.
next step is to trade war, when the war ended their trade done? fact that some wars can not be defeated, some of the war also should not be defeated. Last September 12, Obama signed the tires safeguard trade war by the United States is an important piece of cloth. That is not lost, but we are so defeated miserable, let us follow the aftermath of the waves unbearable.
this issue is too important, so necessary at this time and all our friends to talk about the essence of what a trade war.
fact, things faster, and started calling for a trade war tires safeguard, which is the seventh U.S. unions safeguard, the former U.S. president six have been rejected, even by the seventh time, that terrible, by itself is a well-planned national strategy.
the beginning of all this comes from the U.S. steel unions safeguard the tires, I investigated a bit, I suddenly found that our translation is wrong, this union should be the name of the original steel, rubber, paper, forestry, energy, manufacturing, service, and so many sectors of the United Federation of Trade Unions of the Americas, how do we translate? We look up, first check the first word that immediately write down the steel, and then again there are dozens of words to look for not checked, went so far published for the steel industry, how can you so sloppy you undefeated, he is a die-hard Obama brother, as you know do not know how terrible this union?
2008 presidential election, when the Austrian Bama and Hillary Clinton locked in killing time, is come out of this trade union support for Obama, making Obama Mamai on the president's throne, so the president and the ambiguous relationship between trade unions, this is your unthinkable. such a major competitor, we can actually translate it wrong, so terrible trade unions, I believe he was later to benefit.
two conclusions after investigation, the conclusion of a 2004 to 2008, China tire exports to the U.S. market share increased by 12%. Conclusions II, the same period, the United States tire company's market share fell just 12%, due to the rise of China is just down the United States, so the judge China guilt.
In this crisis-ridden international negotiations, we are sending to the imposing trade negotiators did not speak English, Comrade Xu Ying. She shouted abuse at the time the United States International Trade Association, the roar courtroom, it is defamatory to China. Wen-Ying Xu said you dare to sanction our Chinese American tire, we will not export cheap Chinese tires for you, so the Americans can not afford to change tires, and if Americans can not afford to change tires, highway accidents increases. This is what we Trade negotiators answer, can you imagine? she finished, the audience was laughter.
United States International Trade Association, with her reply was given to two conclusions on Obama, Obama immediately Signature tires safeguard, thus completing the second root claws a pair of pliers.
signing is completed, under the operation in the United States, South America, Brazil, Argentina, India, immediately launched tires safeguard, Germany launched solar electromagnetic anti-dumping cases initiated by European and American shoes, aluminum foil, seamless anti-dumping case, the United States launched Nine Inch pipe, pipeline, phosphate, and so anti-dumping case.
in this pressure, Rain Comes from Wind China's three largest export trade unions, including textiles, electrical machinery and light industrial products in the United States one month before the CNN board for a 30-second advertisements in China. They want to appeal through the flexible, moving the American people to hope the U.S. government let them go.
but I ask my friend, if the U.S. decided to impose sanctions on our three main export industry, then what is the result? if coupled with the first World War, 20% appreciation of the RMB exchange rate if you do not know We want to know how many years back?
but unfortunately to tell my friend, this ad is invalid, and this year in January, the U.S. has three products for our anti-dumping, the first drill pipe is called, the second metal manufacture of pallets, as well as electric blankets, trays and electric blankets are our light industrial textile and electronics industries, the sanctions the United States has begun.
I talked about here, I do not know what the consequences will be, because of my limited ability , but I was very worried. the slightest mistake lead to disastrous consequences. Can you imagine how the situation in crisis today, this time requires great wisdom, need effort. but this time the Ministry of Commerce is very sloppy, you have absolutely not ready, you so underestimate the enemy, imprudent, how can you undefeated?
and we also have to consider retaliation against the United States, and of course I have our revenge the Chinese government has always been my support, but the question is what you want revenge? you may want to retaliation for U.S. chicken.
I do not know the chicken with the U.S. What is the relationship of China's tire, but you want to know further retaliation. First, in the United States to build the chicken coop, the cost certainly better than China's low; second , hired labor in the United States than the Chinese chicken costs low? not. Third, the U.S. will not be hatching chicks cost lower than China; Fourth, the United States is the humane chicken, chicken in China is inhumane, in the United States to do chicken is very interesting. in China to die, you look at a chicken farm in China, China's chicken with no distance between the chicken, so chicken that the Chinese do not have to squat down over a lifetime. a man in China difficult, more difficult cooking chicken.
to these four points of view, the United States is not cheap chicken to the truth, we want to know why so cheap American chickens?
because the special feed, cheap, cheap special feed Why? Because corn cheaper. maize Why Special cheaper? because the U.S. government subsidies in the past decade a total of 290 billion dollars, equivalent to two hundred billion yuan in cash subsidies. a country could be so much a product of cash subsidies, many countries including our country can not. You want to revenge U.S. chicken, you are wrong, the object of revenge, retaliation is not the American you want the chicken, but behind the corn. U.S. corn is about to launch World War II, that is, the cost of war.
tires safeguard that we should not lose. We should be so to answer: First of all, I admit that the U.S. national trade association of law enforcement right, I admit you two survey results. However, I remind Americans of the following two facts: the first First, you know 2004 to 2008 the share of the United States decreased by 12 percentage points Why exactly? you do not know, I know. because you tire of the four U.S. companies, including Tesco solid Michelin plant them just off the U.S. out, so drop by 12%. Then they went to China, the use of cheaper Chinese production of cheap labor, all the tires back to the U.S., so we just share in China increased by 12 percentage points. All these are the four companies that you dry the United States thing, China has nothing to do with us.
Secondly, if you sanction us, you will go to four U.S. companies in Indonesia and Thailand, where labor is not only low, more importantly, they produce rubber, so they can be cheaper The cost to return to the U.S., you will be the 12 or more points. You just use the actual data to answer truthfully, this war will not be defeated, undefeated as long as this war, then Obama can not build trade war. as long as the lack of a World War II, the U.S. exchange rate war will not work. it is a pity that we are disgrace to let us into the passive situation of unprecedented.
But even more terrible war yet to come. It is the third war, the cost of war, and climatic battle, if you're brave enough, you dare to hear, rest for 15 minutes back to talk about.
2000, the U.S. company Monsanto visited the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Biological Institute, gave the occasion of his departure, a soybean Academy of Agricultural Sciences. Monsanto understanding of the habits of the Chinese people more than anything else in place, he knows we are a country like the stress on the other, he gave us hope that we, after soybean rebate a soybean, soybean our Academy is really a rebate. What we really confidential? is soybeans. because the Chinese control over 90% of the wild soybean seeds.
Monsanto to get it Subject to treasure stars soybean, immediately flew back to the United States, isolated genes and anti-viral gene prolific, the United States already have the oil control genes. thanked the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Monsanto then 131 countries in the world 63 registered patent, in 2003 the grandson of a soybean future generations grow up, they decided to invade China. we are really open to imports of soybeans, and soybean have been officially eliminated Northeast.
2003 年 8 months, in soybean stocks are lowered from August 2003 Scoop April 2004, up 4,400 yuan / ton. and for the previous month, China's oil crushing plant a total of more than 800 million tons of soybeans imported .5 fierce throwing Wall Street since January soybean futures hit 2000 block / ton. 70% of the final-round collapse of the Chinese oil pressing, grain merchants to enter China after the acquisition of four of these factories closed down, making the whole of China in 2009 more than 85% of grain and oil control in the hands of foreign capital. Jinlong Yu, Lu Hua , Fortune, and so are the four companies holding the pricing power of the Chinese Cereals and Oils in the United States hand over Wall Street, Wall Street control the price at this time.
Nanjing friends at home a dish mm green pepper fried pork, is this Who will drive the price of pork green pepper control? cooking pork to cut it, cut pork it, who controls the price of pork in China? Bo Xilai recently caught the pig underworld gangsters, he was a person to develop pig people can eat for the country two days, two days alone, he can control the price of pork in China. He is a gangster, but not in the underworld behind him and a super-master, his name is Wall Street's Goldman Sachs.
Goldman Sachs in 2004, the first acquisition of Yurun Group, part of the shares, get the pork .2006 downstream processing and then to 20 billion acquisition of the Henan Shuanghui, get the lower reaches of the upper reaches after .2008 out of 3 billion acquisition Hunan, Fujian, dozens of pig factory.
rogue pig pig pig far less than Goldman Sachs, because only the control of swine Pa Chongqing, and Goldman Sachs control of two provinces, it is almost the only company Goldman Sachs control the whole hog industry chain downstream of the enterprise. he controlled the industry chain from Fujian Province to Hunan, Jiangsu and to Henan, a whole industrial chain. pigs Pa which is his level? he really manipulate pigs in China meat prices, remember a month or two before the lecture in Shanghai for some leadership. Shanghai Brilliance Group, chairman of very mixed feelings after listening to ask me, Lang, Professor of Shanghai Brilliance Group of large, when we talk and Availability On the grain and pork prices, they are not birds, our birds, and today I know why the original Wall Street.
heavy snow in northern China one month before the price of vegetables, resulting in huge fluctuations, fluctuations are only short-term fluctuations, please Ladies and Gentlemen, guess who controls China's benchmark price of vegetables? that steal our soybean controlled by Monsanto. He controlled a company 50% of the vegetable seeds in China. to control the long-term benchmark prices of vegetables. Of course, in which should include green peppers. If even a green pepper fried pork prices are determined on Wall Street, not to mention oil, iron ore?
any relation between these companies? please listen carefully, Wall Street, Monsanto and the four major grain merchants, known as the modern East India Company. with green pepper pork, for example, friends should be able to give you a warning, you do not think Americans are just manipulating the international market prices, even you can manipulate the price of Nanjing, this powerful United States.
a while ago, we staged a spy gate Rio Tinto we remember? Union Steel Rio Tinto our negotiations, we lost two years of negotiations, down 7,000 million, and why? and vegetable prices because of the same and agricultural prices, as pricing is not controlled by us.
who controlled the iron ore pricing?
Steel Association last year, I remember the negotiations, Rio Tinto only agree to a reduction of 33%. We talk about Steel Association a, how can you talk about? you knows you do not know for us lose a seven thousand million, and why? because you do not know the pricing of iron ore, rules of the game. Then you have to ask me, given how the price of iron ore?
I usually do not speak of. But you do the bank, nothing to do with you talk about, not the price of iron ore to steel agreement negotiations. because the price depends on both the price of iron ore, the first oil price , the second Baltic Dry Index, which is the freight index. as long as the two rose, iron ore to rise, the two fell, after the iron ore to fall, that iron ore price index is the Baltic Sea and top up oil prices. then I ask you, oil prices, the Baltic index who manipulated? Wall Street! who is behind Wall Street? the U.S. government! So, you really negotiating partner is Wall Street, that is, the U.S. government, the U.S. government Wall Street's manipulation of oil prices by manipulating the Baltic index, indirect control of iron ore.
give you an example, in July 2008, I am speaking in Shunde, Guangdong, site visitors are traders of steel, I am quite in Guangdong influential, this is one of the spot I told them that steel prices will plunge and became a hit, how I know?
I have not spoken with others, to tell you today count the. All this thanks to our Shenzhen Nanshan Power's leadership, we Guangdong Shenzhen Nanshan than 100 U.S. dollars a barrel in oil prices and Wall Street's Goldman Sachs, when signing the contract on the bet, how much money on stocks? 62 dollars, if oil prices Goldman Sachs to pay more than $ 62 per month 30 million dollars Shenzhen Nanshan, if oil prices fell below $ 62, the day of Shenzhen Nanshan Power to pay Goldman Sachs fell below 80 million dollars, or an amount of money each subsequent pay 40 million dollars, please each calculate this loss of state-owned enterprises for the people how much money? about ten million dollars or more.
I just saw this deal, so I know the price of oil fell below 62 dollars a certain, or Goldman Sachs would not sign with you . As long as oil prices fall, the Baltic index must be dropped, this is the law. Therefore, the first Baltic index fell, oil prices fall further, and iron ore fall further, so this is what I said, so sure of the reason is because this transaction. If your investment is to attract such firms Goldman Sachs, you're in trouble.
any acquired businesses is just a pawn on the international chessboard, they are of any benefit to U.S. interests as a precondition. the United States manipulated agricultural and mineral raw material prices, manipulation of the pricing, the cost of war as long as the United States is willing to fight, that is, the right to control inflation in China has been through various methods of speaking in front of me hand over to the Americans.
I believe I talked about here , every friend should have a very serious sense of crisis. If the United States would like to make the cost of war, the result is terrible. He is not only capable, more importantly, he has the strength to make any point he wants to do , terrible.
it occurs with the first three-game how to do if? Of course I do not think he will occur together, but we think the worst case, if the exchange-rate appreciation, our main export is sanctions, inflation how to do full-blown expansion? Of course I do not want it to happen, and planned by the United States at the back, as you know do not know how complex the situation, this is what I've been telling my friends, we need government, business, media, people work together, with great wisdom to defuse the crisis.
with great wisdom to defuse the crisis, but had to talk about the Fourth World War: the climate wars.
remember last December's Copenhagen meeting up?
I think the events are arranged good a drama, is the beginning of the meeting came in several Pacific island countries cry and kick the people that their homes were submerged, and their governments to bring oxygen to the water office of the barrel.
and former U.S. Vice President Al Gore made a film documentary, in which a picture is going to melt the ice above the sad face of a polar bear stood looking at the East. seem to be our fault, but I once again tell all our friends through the lecture I hope that we can take advantage of great wisdom to resolve this crisis. What is great wisdom? my TV early November in Guangdong, when a remark: I do not believe it. Why do I dare say so arrogant: I do not believe?
I said climate warming data is provided by the University of British five-stream, and his name is University of East Anglia, so many schools in the world I taught the book, my students, teachers, friends all over the world, I heard this I shall have The university's name. I suspect that four other universities. Relying on this, I said I do not believe, this is my TV shows and programs in Guangdong speak.
2009 年 11 月 17, thanked the Russian hackers, invaded computer professor at the University of East Anglia. Finally found to be a big hoax, which almost all fabrications of data.
climate is not warming? there is no cold?
there! often warming the Earth's climate, often cold. 11 to 14 century AD when the temperature ten degrees higher than now, that is the world's Nuanshi period, when the polar bears that come ashore, and went to Siberia and northern Canada, Alaska, they are alive and well before the century .18 is a small ice age, oh so cold.
climate is warming, but also cold, but it has nothing to do with carbon dioxide. Harvard professor with the Massachusetts Institute of Technology is very difficult to be bought, professor of East Anglia, it is easy to buy. you think do you have the ability to change the climate? the presence of you are doing the bank, I just ask you one word, you know how much human emissions of carbon dioxide? 6.5 billion tons, you know the number of bacteria discharged? 150 billion tons.
We are 6.5 billion tons is only a fraction of the bacteria. And because of our human-made modern industrialization is the fraction of a fraction of carbon dioxide, you do not have influence, and all the bacteria and the carbon dioxide humans put together, but the atmosphere inside the 0.054 .
So what in the end affect the climate?
sun! That is why the global warming? as increased solar activity, sunspots increase the sun's surface, climate, why the cold? because fewer solar activity, solar the surface of the sunspot is reduced. This is the conclusion in January of this year.
Europe and the United States would like to launch a climate war purposes. After the ladies and gentlemen, your customers, products, export products, but also pay, because the manufacture of carbon dioxide. such as say, 1 ton of steel produces 1.8 tonnes of carbon .1 tons of cement to produce 1 ton of carbon, a piece of clothing produced five kilograms of carbon.
make much money? Americans told us the price up to close 70 U.S. dollars one tonne of carbon, so the next time we want to export, pay, called carbon tariffs, are you afraid to pay carbon tax it? okay, you can import to Europe and the United States to reduce carbon technology, So now he fabricated using carbon dioxide, something to the Chinese income developing countries, led by carbon tariffs.
what purpose?
pulling in this way is to use the economic development of their countries, the second objective, comprehensive obstruct China's economic development, recently including national policies, corporate strategies Fun ...
Wednesday, February 23, 2011
I did not know what to write
There is no sign of channeling to Shanghai, and the small X in the sunny streets of the shuttle.
Miss walking. There is excitement, there are concerns. How warm sunshine, I half-amused eyes, waiting for a red light when looking at sky, smiled, turned out we really under the same blue sky.
every corner of IKEA are times we step, even if this is still little information, how should the homeless? dragged half of the body in that place it is flawless. So we go away, three o'clock in the afternoon time, from the subway, from left to right hh right, waiting for me, I was walking.
hot one day Nanjing Road, pedestrian waves We also weighed in, walk aimlessly hh happy coincidence, the second floor of the building of a Building, a man suspected of blowing saxophone Yaotouhuangnao foreigners, gathered downstairs three times inside and outside of the curious. next door to the fourth floor of modest Balcony, both foreign men and women armed with rings like wedding photographs of a certain scene, then, the bride cried, the ring slipped from the fourth floor, rings in the Nanjing Road, a hard bounce on the ground under a few laps after the fixed scroll, and later an Aunt emotion, in a casual moment, was three times as a focal point around which hh
become very suddenly decided to return to Hangzhou. even late at night to get to and no matter hh Just, just, appear in front of you.
Miss walking. There is excitement, there are concerns. How warm sunshine, I half-amused eyes, waiting for a red light when looking at sky, smiled, turned out we really under the same blue sky.
every corner of IKEA are times we step, even if this is still little information, how should the homeless? dragged half of the body in that place it is flawless. So we go away, three o'clock in the afternoon time, from the subway, from left to right hh right, waiting for me, I was walking.
hot one day Nanjing Road, pedestrian waves We also weighed in, walk aimlessly hh happy coincidence, the second floor of the building of a Building, a man suspected of blowing saxophone Yaotouhuangnao foreigners, gathered downstairs three times inside and outside of the curious. next door to the fourth floor of modest Balcony, both foreign men and women armed with rings like wedding photographs of a certain scene, then, the bride cried, the ring slipped from the fourth floor, rings in the Nanjing Road, a hard bounce on the ground under a few laps after the fixed scroll, and later an Aunt emotion, in a casual moment, was three times as a focal point around which hh
become very suddenly decided to return to Hangzhou. even late at night to get to and no matter hh Just, just, appear in front of you.
Tuesday, February 22, 2011
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the epidermis to reduce sebum synthesis
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Monday, February 21, 2011
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Howie: if you're the man ; are sure this is true love, since love is not coming empty promises fun of the classic two or dissatisfaction with the performance of small gold are good choices. so arrogant to the formation of large numbers of viewers feel ,...< br> Shenzhen man popular image, in a short ten minutes to show another character in Shenzhen, and presents a new style of Shenzhen man group photo. But, it? not. Now, we have to do work that your eyes wide open. gossip, the same news ... 2>>
block if you're the hype kicked out of the sight of rubbish! Cubs Online 2010 - 6-12 16:59
if you're the sincerity I do not know when to begin, Jiangsu Satellite TV out of a marriage type of program called watch the show to feel a little strange, the stage most of the 24 young girls have exceptional color, how to find her boyfriend will need to do here? Sure, ... 3 of the same news>>
You Are the One, We are normal, but the weather started not normal, so normal weather, the people began not normal, I mean are those people, you understand. Unfortunately, not you, me in the end you're the one coming back from the already a full 20 days, everything has been normal, working, eating normal ,...< br> million blind date activities will be br> reporter was informed yesterday, in the June 26 m27 blind date at the people, there is a special part of the game mm The eight men after another play in the selection, if a match will receive gifts provided by the organizer. In order to breakdown the candidates, One aspects of context, it is worth learning from. are for the time being to recruit 24 female guests as units, to a male guest as a candidate, ... 2 of the same news>>
Photo: 20,100,612 non-Cheng Do not minimize interference with the World Cup crazy blind date beautiful women exposed at home ... SouFun 2010-6-12 17:26
Roca, Jiangsu Satellite TV, according to the official website announced news that you're the one in the history of the smallest blind or female guests appearance, and in its exposure of its official website home photos. At the same time also broke the news in the official website sincere thanks good case of courtship, Cai Wei sounds of nature bloom. Xie Jia, a wise and rational concern for its female guests, was an unprecedented love big test. male guests got on one knee, singing, gifts ,...< br> words: Mayi Na if you're the indecent photos 6-12 06:55
Zhong Guangwang Beijing June 9 news blind date type of program to start with hit shows, the same news ... 2>>
, so go on in the face, lip, playing on the screen, you do not trouble trouble? vulgar certainly true reflection of society, television has a magic mirror, spotlight, virtually enlarge the vulgar to the extreme. In this case, ... 44 the same news article>>
if you're the exposure of the upper body Mano sexy photo vacuum undefended window 2010-6-12 13:25
Chongqing People's Network for participating in the Mano have since participated in several new programs one after another. But recently, she participated in several new programs overnight did not file her presence. It is said that she was blocked, but also news that she has a new job. her Brokers said the Manor will officially enter the entertainment circle.
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Sunday, February 20, 2011
Murong a family the most humiliating Emperor
Explore suspicions b bloody five hundred years of history of the Clan random Chinese articles (V)
read Jin Yong's dedicated machine, or even put down the dignity and treachery. Although invented the characters in the novel, but bear with Mr. Jin Yong Murong family understanding. Murong Fu and his son rather, is a microcosm of the whole family Murong, Mr. Jin Yong family disposition Murong a highly general and concise portrayal. explore the what, Murong Fu and his son can make the behavior of ordinary people can not understand, because the of their ancestors, the Central Plains in the Wuhu into the most chaotic period of history that period, there was a king glory. that no Shangrong Yao Road, a symbol of the ring, every moment is not occurring in their minds. Let them later, always bearing in mind the glory of the family, recalling the royal elegance. bloodline continues to this heritage, but also disposition to become arrogant sons Murong, solitary cold, regardless of true feelings.
Murong the Zionist forces have been true in history through this before. Murong rise in the Liaodong, after the Central Plains into the prime, Former Yan separatist regime was established, was in the north and the Former Qin palaces. Murong this period is the most beautiful, most worthy of showing off period, but also a period of Murong family heroes. Murong family history heroes, and to compose the Murong Central Plains of the infinite beauty aspirations. But also, as they rise and fall of tribes as a nation, reached the height of the day, it is also the beginning of the decline. With the demise of the former Yan and Yang family has entered one of the most humiliating period in the dark. Modi Murong Wei, together with a large royal Murong, all of the Former Qin made the prisoners look back to past glory in the sigh, but unfortunately the foot of the Escort Changan Road. Fortunately, Fu Jian, the use of force to conquer the Quartet, but does not rule by killing people. For Murong family of the nobility of the Former Qin met yet. Before surrendered Murong Chui, Fu Jian, an important appointment; later captured Murong Wei, Feng Hou Ren Xinxing. Even before the genetic Yan Robinson also an official seal.
However, for those who have enjoyed distinguished the royal family who appears in the road guards will not be satisfied merely food and clothing plump and worry-free life. they really need is power, is the dignitaries of the glory of someone else for their surrender and worship. Fu Jian virtue of benevolence and justice under the guidance of the arrangements for the king to have your helmet's Murong, however, it is undoubtedly the greatest shame. they miss is that Murong Huang dominated the Liaodong of past glory, is the hero of the Central Plains Murong Jun domineering horse is Murong Ke Megatron Jin Shi's martial arts masterpiece, is Mu Rongchui resourceful general demeanor. but at this moment, all of which have similar solo as non-existent. left only to depend on others, driven fancy shame and resentment. subjugation of reality and the noble family of contrast, one can imagine, such a strong contrast between how the blow was Murong mind of every member of the family . To be sure, in their heart of hearts, is not a day of recovery do not want to, no day goes by without thinking of the glory that once. They think that since the noble royal blood, have never stopped boiling.
held for later Qin rebel soldiers, one of the country west of Yan's second main Murong Chong, the humiliation is not only from the pain of subjugation, but both have dual physical and spiritual wounds. before Yanmie Guo, Murong Chong Not only were prisoners and then also into the delicate features of the beautiful boy, rather, a Qinghe even better than Princess. then minister Wang Meng Fu Jian force in the Remonstrance, the extremely difficult it will be Murong Chong arranged to the local office, but the emotion is still reluctant on Murong Chong, so A room in the city to be the moved.
who experienced childhood trauma, it is difficult to make up and healing. in the way the guards seem, this deformity of love, the two ideas are not the same, Fu Jian, may be passionately devoted to the Murong Chong, But for Murong Chong, but it is unspeakable humiliation. Murong Chong who bleed the same blood Murong noble family, always burning with vengeance. That opportunity comes from the famous battle, Battle of the maximum can be said Fu Jian The flaw, Former Qin defeated, the wall some harm, national disintegration, can not come to clean up the situation. Just two years after the Battle of the, under the rule in the Former Qin Wuhu tyrannical to have established the Houyan, West Yan, Later Qin and West Qinling, and several separatist regimes. Murong which is the initiator, first Murong Chui Yan back to before the old haunt of Jubing rebel; then in the North Kanto long Shimu Rong Hong, Binh Duong Prefecture Mu Rongchong Pingyang revolted in response. History is such people, alas, once the favorite Murong Chong Fu Jian, Chang back when, not imagined Fengqi Wu Fu Jian Tong, but a hope of life and death battle.
Murong Chong humiliation, from the ;? Murong Chong replied: resentment of slavery and forced to do Nanchong humiliation, to the moment is completely burst. Let us now look at the to embryonic, have no labor peace? today sent a robe to clear the arms. I point at how the Big Well, and suddenly this change in just one day! Qi Xiaohui Gu a gown!. pouring oil, brought back memories of his painful memories of that period of shame.
West Yan's first emperor should be Murong Chong, Wang said the economic North Murong King (not emperor) to establish the West Yan, less than a year were men killed. Murong Chong emperor in AD 385, got his wish to get on the throne, and then launched a fierce attack on his former Qin, Fu Jian finally forced to flee Chang'an. Murong Chong reached the city of Chang'an, the hearts of many years of accumulated resentment of the made a devastating revenge on the city, he .
Fu Jian alternative life-loving, let's not discuss terms of a single king to term, he is undoubtedly a success. In his efforts, the Former Qin was unified the north, reaching an unprecedented peak. Former Qin and Later, a unified Northern Wei Tuoba different: when the rise of Tuoba Wei, Wuhu has become the end of the potential, this is an excellent prerequisite for the successful reunification. and Wuhu rampant Fu Jian comes a time when the situation is more difficult in the (of course, also caused the objective of this unity is not strong hidden). Fu Jian errors in decision-making there are two: First, the rush attack Eastern Jin Dynasty; then there are the tolerance of Murong. On Murong, when Taishi Fu Jian had to remonstrate that Business Landscape, said, (Murong hidden dangers. only their senses, sighed and said: 1500 years of history passed, to date, we can not simply use the good or bad, for the wrong to evaluate a historical figure. Murong of recovery, for Murong family, there is no mistake. For Fu Jian speaking, is that bad faith the. but also as favorite of Murong Chong Fu Jian, perhaps really focused portrait, but Murong Chong, but it is undoubtedly the greatest shame in life. (text / Road guards)
Disclaimer: This blog article in the poems are Road Guard original works. without my permission, declined to media outlets. Web site and personal Zhuantie
Please specify the author and links.
read Jin Yong's dedicated machine, or even put down the dignity and treachery. Although invented the characters in the novel, but bear with Mr. Jin Yong Murong family understanding. Murong Fu and his son rather, is a microcosm of the whole family Murong, Mr. Jin Yong family disposition Murong a highly general and concise portrayal. explore the what, Murong Fu and his son can make the behavior of ordinary people can not understand, because the of their ancestors, the Central Plains in the Wuhu into the most chaotic period of history that period, there was a king glory. that no Shangrong Yao Road, a symbol of the ring, every moment is not occurring in their minds. Let them later, always bearing in mind the glory of the family, recalling the royal elegance. bloodline continues to this heritage, but also disposition to become arrogant sons Murong, solitary cold, regardless of true feelings.
Murong the Zionist forces have been true in history through this before. Murong rise in the Liaodong, after the Central Plains into the prime, Former Yan separatist regime was established, was in the north and the Former Qin palaces. Murong this period is the most beautiful, most worthy of showing off period, but also a period of Murong family heroes. Murong family history heroes, and to compose the Murong Central Plains of the infinite beauty aspirations. But also, as they rise and fall of tribes as a nation, reached the height of the day, it is also the beginning of the decline. With the demise of the former Yan and Yang family has entered one of the most humiliating period in the dark. Modi Murong Wei, together with a large royal Murong, all of the Former Qin made the prisoners look back to past glory in the sigh, but unfortunately the foot of the Escort Changan Road. Fortunately, Fu Jian, the use of force to conquer the Quartet, but does not rule by killing people. For Murong family of the nobility of the Former Qin met yet. Before surrendered Murong Chui, Fu Jian, an important appointment; later captured Murong Wei, Feng Hou Ren Xinxing. Even before the genetic Yan Robinson also an official seal.
However, for those who have enjoyed distinguished the royal family who appears in the road guards will not be satisfied merely food and clothing plump and worry-free life. they really need is power, is the dignitaries of the glory of someone else for their surrender and worship. Fu Jian virtue of benevolence and justice under the guidance of the arrangements for the king to have your helmet's Murong, however, it is undoubtedly the greatest shame. they miss is that Murong Huang dominated the Liaodong of past glory, is the hero of the Central Plains Murong Jun domineering horse is Murong Ke Megatron Jin Shi's martial arts masterpiece, is Mu Rongchui resourceful general demeanor. but at this moment, all of which have similar solo as non-existent. left only to depend on others, driven fancy shame and resentment. subjugation of reality and the noble family of contrast, one can imagine, such a strong contrast between how the blow was Murong mind of every member of the family . To be sure, in their heart of hearts, is not a day of recovery do not want to, no day goes by without thinking of the glory that once. They think that since the noble royal blood, have never stopped boiling.
held for later Qin rebel soldiers, one of the country west of Yan's second main Murong Chong, the humiliation is not only from the pain of subjugation, but both have dual physical and spiritual wounds. before Yanmie Guo, Murong Chong Not only were prisoners and then also into the delicate features of the beautiful boy, rather, a Qinghe even better than Princess. then minister Wang Meng Fu Jian force in the Remonstrance, the extremely difficult it will be Murong Chong arranged to the local office, but the emotion is still reluctant on Murong Chong, so A room in the city to be the moved.
who experienced childhood trauma, it is difficult to make up and healing. in the way the guards seem, this deformity of love, the two ideas are not the same, Fu Jian, may be passionately devoted to the Murong Chong, But for Murong Chong, but it is unspeakable humiliation. Murong Chong who bleed the same blood Murong noble family, always burning with vengeance. That opportunity comes from the famous battle, Battle of the maximum can be said Fu Jian The flaw, Former Qin defeated, the wall some harm, national disintegration, can not come to clean up the situation. Just two years after the Battle of the, under the rule in the Former Qin Wuhu tyrannical to have established the Houyan, West Yan, Later Qin and West Qinling, and several separatist regimes. Murong which is the initiator, first Murong Chui Yan back to before the old haunt of Jubing rebel; then in the North Kanto long Shimu Rong Hong, Binh Duong Prefecture Mu Rongchong Pingyang revolted in response. History is such people, alas, once the favorite Murong Chong Fu Jian, Chang back when, not imagined Fengqi Wu Fu Jian Tong, but a hope of life and death battle.
Murong Chong humiliation, from the ;? Murong Chong replied: resentment of slavery and forced to do Nanchong humiliation, to the moment is completely burst. Let us now look at the to embryonic, have no labor peace? today sent a robe to clear the arms. I point at how the Big Well, and suddenly this change in just one day! Qi Xiaohui Gu a gown!. pouring oil, brought back memories of his painful memories of that period of shame.
West Yan's first emperor should be Murong Chong, Wang said the economic North Murong King (not emperor) to establish the West Yan, less than a year were men killed. Murong Chong emperor in AD 385, got his wish to get on the throne, and then launched a fierce attack on his former Qin, Fu Jian finally forced to flee Chang'an. Murong Chong reached the city of Chang'an, the hearts of many years of accumulated resentment of the made a devastating revenge on the city, he .
Fu Jian alternative life-loving, let's not discuss terms of a single king to term, he is undoubtedly a success. In his efforts, the Former Qin was unified the north, reaching an unprecedented peak. Former Qin and Later, a unified Northern Wei Tuoba different: when the rise of Tuoba Wei, Wuhu has become the end of the potential, this is an excellent prerequisite for the successful reunification. and Wuhu rampant Fu Jian comes a time when the situation is more difficult in the (of course, also caused the objective of this unity is not strong hidden). Fu Jian errors in decision-making there are two: First, the rush attack Eastern Jin Dynasty; then there are the tolerance of Murong. On Murong, when Taishi Fu Jian had to remonstrate that Business Landscape, said, (Murong hidden dangers. only their senses, sighed and said: 1500 years of history passed, to date, we can not simply use the good or bad, for the wrong to evaluate a historical figure. Murong of recovery, for Murong family, there is no mistake. For Fu Jian speaking, is that bad faith the. but also as favorite of Murong Chong Fu Jian, perhaps really focused portrait, but Murong Chong, but it is undoubtedly the greatest shame in life. (text / Road guards)
Disclaimer: This blog article in the poems are Road Guard original works. without my permission, declined to media outlets. Web site and personal Zhuantie
Please specify the author and links.
Thursday, February 17, 2011
Growth pole in the western region of the construction of light
Abstract: The light is an important part of the western industry. And heavy compared to the whole, the western light deficiency, low-value ratio, poor skills, low market share. To change the lagging development of the western state of light, making must be corrected ideas, from the emphasis on type of investment arrangement changes to the side of light, re-establish the severity of a balanced, coordinated in close and effective operation of the industrial structure. Keywords: Western; light; leading industry; growth pole; output On the Growth-Pole's Construction of Light Industry in Western China (First Half) Dong Fan, Hong Mingyong (1.School of Management, Beijing Normal University, Beijing City, 100875, China; 2. School of Economics & Management, Guizhou University, Guiyang City, Guizhou Province, 550025 , China) Abstract: The light industry is an important part of industry in western China. Generally speaking, it has insufficiently developed, the proportion of output value, the technological level and customers' buying are all very low comparing with the heavy industry. In order to push the development of light industry in the region, it is necessary to adjust the thinking of strategy-making, conduct the transition from the heavy industry to the light industry, reestablish balance between light and heavy industry, coordinate harmoniously and implement industrial structure . Key Words: Western China, Light Industry, Leading Industry, Growth Pole, Output Value. In 2020, priority to the development of light industry, expanding border trade, membership in order to create a mechanism for the western region of the blood, is to build a margin of international economic cooperation with Western Border The basic work ideas ��1��. However, there is the internal structure of the western light, economic and market conditions have fallen far short of building Western Border with the requirements of international economic cooperation. The reason is that economic development has long been a strategic decision of Western errors and Aggregation and allocation of production factors in the poor level. to correct the mistakes of traditional strategic decisions quickly gather and rational and efficient allocation of production factors, is the priority development of the basic way the western light .1 west and Present Situation of drawing development of light industry in the western industry is an important light components. and heavy compared to the whole, the western light deficiency, low-value ratio, poor skills, low market share. Light includes wood and bamboo harvesting, food processing, food manufacturing and beverage manufacturing industry, the tobacco processing industry, textiles, clothing and other fiber products manufacturing, leather, fur and feather products industry, wood processing and Bamboo, Rattan, furniture manufacturing, paper and paper products, printing and record medium replication industry, Educational and Sports Goods, more than 10 industries. West depends on the development of light industry within the various sectors of light industry development. But in more than 10 branches of industry, the western tobacco processing industry in the country only has an important position, and create a series of plates; and in the food processing industry, only the mechanism of sugar production has an absolute advantage; in the food industry, only dairy products are more advantages; in the beverage industry, the wine industry has certain advantages, but the main .1.1 liquor products is reflected in the western area of light industry and the Historical Development of the normal sequence of industrial upgrading should �� light �� heavy industry to agriculture, but whether before the reform and opening up, or in the reform and opening up 20 years later, the western light industry Development has been in a state of suppressed ��2��. had before in the heavy industry to develop light industry should have a good, full development stage for the development of heavy industry and lay a good foundation, but never more than half of the western value of light industry. some years better, but only about 45%, most years only about 40%. from a practical point of view provinces, Ningxia and the relative ratio of the maximum light, but the total output value is very small, insignificant in the entire western region. Guangxi, Sichuan, Chongqing, Xinjiang The light output ratio is relatively high, but still more than half of most years. which from 1978 to 2001, more than half a year free of Xinjiang, Sichuan, in 1998 only just over half a year. Table 1 to 2 years or less for an observation point describe its western region the percentage of light output from 1978 to 2001 in the development and changes. Table 1 and the western region of light industry output value of the ratio of total industrial output value of unit: billion,% Chongqing, Guangxi, Sichuan and Guizhou Xinjiang, Tibet, Shaanxi, Gansu and Ningxia Western value% value% value% value% value% value% value% value% value% value% 1,978,583,663,401,433 0.6 40 4,345,151,910,781,442,217 3619 80 7,050,293,880,431,635 0.5 33 5,550,152,010,761,742,294 4219 82 8,854,353,899,482,139 0.5 39 5,950,192,310,712,448,355 4419 84 112 524,743,124,452,936 0.7 37 6,543,222,213,733,045,443 4219 86 146 539,054,177,444,340 0.8 38 9,242,372,619,714,445,650 4419 88 1,843,314,955,304,467,243 1.1 4,214,042,613,030,697,148 1012 4119 90 1,894,719,555,383,469,342 1.5 40 1,884,380,291,828,109 49 125,643,199,224,746 304,525,584,411,939 2.3 46 2,404,010,027,222,514,646 173,941,199,439,143 6,494,910,054,215,033 3.6 47 3,713,715,323,312,125,543 3009 3919 96 4,304,179,550,141,048,243 39 2.8 27 4,273,723,028,442,222,233 380,341,199,851,344 9,105,319,595,131,339 4.8 33 5,023,931,729,542,323,331 480,643,200,035,737 862,488,744,220,633 6.9 38 6,883,926,224,381,621,823 351,136,200,143,441 413,399,204,022,032 6.9 38 3,682,815,243,451,716,319 2723 33 Note: (1) This table is based on China Statistical Yearbook The table does not include it encompasses; (3) lists the data sources and different provinces in the west led to calculate the percentage of light output and the other at slightly different book; (4) As the table size limits, except Tibet The light output, other data shall be rounded. to the west is concerned, the process of industrialization with the development of light industry have a greater relationship. the one hand, the western industrialized countries is built on the basis of re-industrialization strategy in long after the founding period of time, the state will ensure national security and accelerate industrialization considered together, not only will focus on industrial investment in the western delta region, but also many industrial enterprises to migrate to coastal areas of the western region , so that many western provinces and autonomous regions have not been light from a stage of development, low level of industrialization suddenly became an industrial area is relatively developed areas with high levels of industrialization. On the other hand, due to investment and construction in the western countries Most are heavy industrial projects in machinery manufacturing, machinery processing, energy, mining and military industries, these companies not only to most products sold outside the region, and the supply of many raw materials from outside the region, so that after nearly 30 years of construction, when the reform and opening up so far, although the data from the statistical analysis of the level of industrialization and to the west as much as the eastern region, and higher than the national average. But the West's industrial and other industries within the region do not have much contact, industry low correlation for the leading role of the regional economy is not ideal. In contrast, most Western investment in light industry enterprises and their ministries and commissions directly under the light start of the project is to the resources of the region based on established , and a large part of the market in the region. the rise of these enterprises, not only from the state investment than the much larger Heavy Industry associated enterprises, and promote the rapid development of the region's economy, and to some extent corrected the distorted industrial structure. NOTE: (1) This figure is based on strategy in the the growth rate of the western light the growth rate of the whole industry is basically the same. From 1978 to 2001, although the latter is sometimes higher and sometimes the former higher, but in general, both trends and fluctuations rate is basically the same in most cases. From the perspective of the growth rate, through the analysis of the development of the western light can generally understand the development of the western industrial. but it should be said that in the period 1979 to 2001, the western development of light industry is insufficient, should local government, and industrial development requirements of the law and our strategic ideas than have a great distance. control the speed of change in China's economic growth can be said that the western industrial economic growth, changes in the national economic cycle track is a basic consistent. Judging from the light itself, in the reform and opening up in 1979 to 1985, due to the implementation of rural land contract responsibility system, a substantial increase of income of urban and rural residents, had long been suppressed items of family life needs are a larger release, demand increased substantially, driving the rapid development of the western light. The western light during the relatively fast growth rate, annual average reached 15.91%, but in the 1986 to 1990, the western volatility in the growth of light industry. In 1986 to 1988, although the faster growth rate of light industry, but on the whole less than the industry growth rate. After two years of time, due to rental contract system and the implementation of the system, many of the assets smaller light industrial enterprises were the first to contract, rent to individuals, which has brought rapid economic development of light industry. Although the growth rate of light downward trend, but significantly higher than the industry growth rate, indicating that heavy industry the relatively slow growth rate. In 1990, after 3 years of time, heavy industry began to West , light industry growth rate began to increase above the rate of the whole industry, which Deng Xiaoping's southern tour speech and the establishment of market economic system, since the two events has greatly enhanced the development of local and non-governmental forces the enthusiasm of the industrial economy. And the local government and the ability of the private economy as investment is low, most of the required amount of investment launched a number of light industrial projects is not very high after the year 1999, due to the implementation of the western development strategy, the central government has increased investment in the western region, industry investment to mainly heavy industry projects, therefore, the growth rate and reduced light down .1.2 current status of the western development of light industry after years of construction, light industry has become an important pillar of the western industry. to the end of 2001, the western part of light industry enterprises 10008 , light industry output value reached 298.472 billion yuan, accounting for 33.03% in Western industrial output value; the number of light industrial enterprises and light industry output value accounting for the number and value of 11.54% and 7.93%. Western light output of 21.7 billion in 1978 to increase to 272.3 billion yuan in 2001 (excluding Yunnan, Inner Mongolia, Qinghai), an increase of 250.6 billion yuan, an increase of 11.55 times, but the pace of development in different provinces of light industry is not the same. Sichuan, Guizhou and Guangxi provinces in relation to other area is to be faster, the light industry output value accounted for the three western provinces the rate of light output growth to varying degrees. Sichuan light output of 6.3 billion in 1978 increased to 92.0 billion in 2001, an increase of 85.7 billion yuan, an increase of 13.6 times; the ratio of total output value of the western light in 1978 increased 29.03% to 33.79% in 2001, an increase of 4.76 percentage points. Guizhou light output of 1.4 billion in 1978 increased to 22.0 billion in 2001 yuan, an increase of 206 billion yuan, an increase of 14.71 times; the ratio of total output value of the western light in 1978 rose 6.45% to 8.08% in 2001, an increase of 1.63 percentage points. Journal of Light output of 2.9 billion in 1980 to increase to 41.3 billion in 2001, an increase of 38.4 billion yuan, an increase of 13.19 times; the ratio of total output value of the western light in 1980 rose 9.86% to 15.17% in 2001, an increase of 5.31 percentage points. Chongqing, Tibet, Gansu , Shaanxi, Ningxia and Xinjiang, the development of light industry relative to other provinces in terms of western slower, the light industry output value accounted for the western provinces, the ratio of light output has decreased in varying degrees. For example, Chongqing, 26.73% in 1978 down to 2001 of 15.94%, down 10.79 points; Shaanxi 19.82% in 1978 fell to 13.51% in 2001, a decrease of 6.31 percentage points; Ningxia, 4.61% in 1978 down to 1.65% in 2001, a decrease of 2.96 percentage points; Gansu 6.91% in 1978 down to 5.58% in 2001, down by 1.33 percentage points; Xinjiang 6.45% in 1978 down to 5.99% in 2001, a decrease of 0.46 percentage points; Tibet in 1978 to 0.28 % to 0.25% in 2001, down 0.03 percentage points. From the light inside the industry structure, the West has been in the home appliance manufacturing, tobacco processing, food processing, food manufacturing, beverage and textile industry has a considerable scale , clothing and other fiber products manufacturing, leather, fur and feather products industry also has a good foundation, but the Transport of wood and bamboo, wood and Bamboo, Rattan, furniture manufacturing, paper and paper products, Printing and Record Medium Reproduction Industry, Educational and Sports Goods is still relatively weak. It is worth mentioning that, in the western light house, home appliances manufacturing, tobacco processing, beverage, leather products, fur and feather industries such as technology innovation with a high level in international and domestic market with strong competitive edge. from the light industry enterprises of the scale, the western region was significantly smaller light industrial enterprises nationwide .2001 86,705, with assets of 4.159622 trillion yuan, to achieve industrial output value of 3.763693 trillion yuan, an average of each company with assets of 048 million yuan, 043 million yuan of industrial output value of .2001 western Guizhou Province has 771 light industrial enterprises, with assets of 22.917 billion yuan, industrial output value of 22.011 billion yuan; average each company with assets of 028 million yuan, less than the national average of 020 million yuan, the average industrial output value of each company 029 million yuan, less than the national average of 014 million yuan 2. generally small scale of investment in light industry, which is Why is the number of light industrial enterprises in 2001 accounted for the western country and 11.54%, while light industry output value was only 7.93% of the reason for the country. From the light of the brand-building point of view, the western region after years of effort, in the beverage, tobacco, clothing, etc. shape the field has great influence in the country with the brand, such as part of the famous brands; Also in the textile and specialty food processing industry and specialty food manufacturing and other industries have also have a certain advantage. from the construction of modern enterprise system point of view, the system has lagged far behind the western light in the eastern coastal areas. in the Eastern , the majority of light industry with not only the start, foreign-funded enterprises, individual economic or other components of private economy developed, the natural advantages of a property rights system, and state-owned economy and collective economy has long been the core of the reform of property rights system . For example, industrial output value in 2001 in Zhejiang Province 1.174783 trillion yuan, of which achieved 863.62 billion yuan of non-state-owned economy, the percentage as high as 73.51%; and Guizhou Province in 2001 industrial output value of 69.663 billion yuan, of which the output value of non-state economy 16,065,000,000 element, the percentage was only 23.06%, 50.45 percentage points lower than in Zhejiang. only non-state industrial output in Zhejiang Province to Guizhou Province, the equivalent of 12.4 times the total industrial output value. from the product structure, timber production in 2000 reached the western region 8,873,700 cubic meters, accounting for 18.79%; edible vegetable oil production was 1,603,700 tons, accounting for 19.20%; mechanism of sugar production capacity of up to 5.3543 million tons, accounting for 700 million tons production capacity of 76.49 percent; dairy production to 325,500 tons, accounting for 39.25%; convenience food production capacity of the main 281,700 tons, accounting for 11.13%; canned production was 457,900 tons, accounting for 25.80%; cigarette box production was 12,455,600, accounting for 36.67% nationwide; yarn production was 855,400 tons, accounting for 13.02%; silk production was 12,839.73 tons, accounting for 17.51%. In soft drinks, convenience the main food, yarn, cloth, yarn, cord fabrics, printing and dyeing cloth production side also is very backward. Table 2 shows the details of the 12 western provinces in 2000 the production situation of young workers. Table 2 The main products of light industry in 2000 production in the western Inner Mongolia and Guangxi Chongqing, Sichuan, Guizhou and Yunnan Tibet, Xinjiang, western Gansu, Qinghai and Ningxia ����% of wood production (million cubic meters) 327.8 315.2 32.1 127.2 18.2 16 38.3 0 0 2.4 0.8 9.6 887.4 18.8 Edible Vegetable Oil (million tons) 44.6 20.3 1.5 15.7 8.6 1.8 0.1 7.8 3.2 1.2 5.4 50.4 160.4 19.2 Mechanism of sugar (million tons) 0.2 7.8 1.1 16.4 325.8 0 0 2.4 0 0.3 148.8 32.6 535.4 76.5 convenient main food (tons) 3.7 7.8 2.9 3.5 0.4 0.04 1.3 0.01 8.4 0.06 0.2 0 28.2 11.1 Dairy products (tons) 18.5 0.5 0.04 0.3 0.2 1.9 0.1 0.1 2.9 1.2 4.6 2.3 32.6 39.3 Canned (tons) 0.8 13.6 1.2 2.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 0 0 25.8 0.07 27 46 drink alcohol (tons) 140 157.6 65.9 53.7 39.4 28.7 17.7 16.6 2.6 19.7 2.2 5.8 29.3 559.5 Beer (million tons) 9.3 15.7 40.5 32 50.9 74.5 0.6 4.7 2.6 21.2 312.3 36.6 14.0 23.9 Soft drinks (million tons) 5.2 17.9 11.8 21.3 35.9 2.6 3.6 0.2 1.6 0.6 5.7 107.2 7.2 0.7 Cigarettes (million boxes) 28 72.3 68.7 128.7 187.4 612.8 104.6 29.5 0 3.1 0 36.7 10.5 1246 yarn (million tons ) 1.6 9.2 5.2 1.5 15.4 2 2.2 0 0.6 0 32.3 85.5 15.7 13.0 cloth (million m) 0.33 6 0.7 0.5 0.9 2.3 0.3 0 0 7.2 0.2 7.7 2.9 21.2 dyed fabrics (million meters) 0.03 0.07 0.4 1.9 0.07 0.2 0 1.1 0 0 0 0.2 3.9 2.5 Cord (tons) 0 0 0,000,054,782,400,005,718 2.8 Wool (wool) (tons) 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.03 0.04 0.03 0 0.03 1 0.03 0.05 0.1 2.1 4.9 silk (tons) 9.8 895.4 243,574,736 64.6 617011504500 17.5 150.4 12840 paperboard (million tons) 12.2 82.6 10.7 71.5 5.7 23.9 8.5 0.4 23.7 15.3 0 19.4 273.8 11.0 Note: (1) This table is based on the secondary status. Western Light system is basically formed in the last century, the fifties and sixties of the threat, resulting in preparation to become the dominant factor in economic decision-making, resulting in heavy industrial structure biased, industry scattered layout, the investment in reverse order (not agriculture, light and heavy but heavy, light, agriculture) and so a complete departure from the scientific theory of industrial economy, location theory and input-output as measured by the scale of economic theory and behavioral phenomena such as the occurrence of .1980 years later, China's industrial structure may have done a major adjustment, but the emphasis on the western structure showed little change. in decision making lead to investment in heavy industry ratio is too large, light industry development has been tied. Western light ratio of total industrial output value, basically in the 30 to 40%, and heavy industry ratio of 60% or more. light industry growth rate in addition a limited number of years, but are low the national average. and our analysis shows that the comparative benefit of light was higher than that of heavy industry ��3��. In this case, the ratio of heavy industry will undoubtedly lead to high overall industrial efficiency to drop, the growth of national income, both difficult additional capital for the development of heavy industry, light industry and difficult to provide adequate funding for the revitalization of protection. the traditional strategy in decision making, not only on the imbalance in industrial structure, but also in two other important aspects: First, industry collaboration loose. In the traditional decision-making most of the projects under construction in the heavy industry is associated with high-tech industry prior to the project and the military-industrial projects, and local industrial projects were reported to be associated with the traditional post-industrial projects to this state of affairs so that high-tech industries and traditional industries the relationship between loose, high-tech and traditional technologies and the gradual replacement of the organic combination of both difficult to achieve. Moreover, the establishment of enterprises in traditional decision-making is often the single production factor in the geographical position on the rigid centralized, industrial layout showing the style . This led to heavy industry, light industry development can not only provide the means of production and raw materials, and difficult to develop through its own production of light industrial products and provide greater consumer demand for life, which leads to and strengthens the internal structure of the irrationality of light : The main raw materials, agricultural products relative to development of better light, and the industrial raw materials as the main light is very weak, which makes the western light in the lower level has been hesitant ��2��. to say that the traditional decision-making directly inhibit the Western self-development activity, is not conducive to the western hematopoietic system development, resulting in a western economy lagging behind. Correction traditional decision-making, not only is the development of the western economy, but also give priority to the development of the western light of the will by the way. Correction traditional decision-making, is to achieve a strategic decision-making model to a partial light from the emphasis on the transformation and re-establish the severity of balance, in close coordination and effective operation of the industrial structure. in the future for a long period of time, adopted a series of economic policies tilted to the light to accelerate the construction of the light industry leading regional industrial growth pole is correct emphasis on the core work of decision making. The so-called industrial growth pole, meaning and other industries around the high correlation coefficient, diffusion effect and the effect of strong capital cycle, in the process of economic development led to the growth of its own Other industry growth of the industry. in an economic cycle, a certain area of high industrial growth pole for its relevance push or pull other industrial growth, led to the formation of a and its instigator of the industry group, constitute a certain period the industrial structure of a certain region within the base. in the west building to light as the leading regional industrial growth pole of a strategic decision to implement partial light ��4��, which includes the following: investment policy preferences - in the western development strategy in the implementation of The Government should provide light and for light agricultural raw materials, some heavy industry (such as chemical industry, plastics industry, photographic materials industry, etc.) and provide the means of production for the light heavy (such as electronic, electrical, bearings, instruments industry, etc.) as an investment focus, while increasing private capital to guide investment to these areas. The financial policy preferences - for the region to develop light industry, sector increased money supply, increased light industrial enterprises to issue stocks, bonds, fund-raising opportunities, due to lower Light the initial stages of development lending. At the same time to take some other possible financing measures. tax policy preferences - for the initial development phase of the light industry enterprises and the ongoing transformation of the light industry enterprises to implement a lower tax rate, for light the steady growth of industrial enterprises and the technical structure of the upgrade. materiel tilt - first to ensure that supplies light industry, light industry enterprises that ensure the production of basic construction materials and raw materials supply; secondly, to ensure that the relevant industries and light industry supplies, such as the provision of technical equipment for the light industry and heavy industry to provide some raw materials, some of the breeding industry. in excess of economic conditions, the basic is not the problem. personnel policy preferences - light industry enterprises to take measures to improve the treatment, attract a variety of management personnel, technical personnel, marketing personnel flow and concentration to the industry. the central and local governments have introduced a number of related policies, contributed to the accumulation of talent in Western light. We have specifically discussed the issue of Western ...
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